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IT (76) RTO (57) SCI (49) HRB (82) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Sea Limited American (SE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$75.48 +1.67% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.56

Sea Limited American (SE) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $45.47B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sea Limited American (NYSE: SE) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $75.48 (+1.67% 1D, market cap $45.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SE ranks #337 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SE compare to IT and RTO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), SE carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.7x, gross margin of 52.2%, and ROIC of 10.2%. By comparison, IT (Gartner Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 51.5%, cap $14.45B) and RTO (Rentokil Initial plc American) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRB leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while IT leads on capital efficiency (51.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SE?
β–Ό

Per SE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703399), Sea Limited American generated $19.63B in revenue (+33.2% YoY), $1.58B in net income, and $4.51B in free cash flow against $29.37B in total assets and $7.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.56 (+0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 23% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- Β· Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$168 Bull$76 Base$59 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SE SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23% FCF Margin ($4.51B FCF) & 52.2% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$95.31-18.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$77.94-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$75.18+0.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$75.48+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, SE faces multiple-compression risk if 29.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.48) or 200D SMA ($97.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($75.82) toward Bear Floor ($59.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SE.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SE
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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SE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.63%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $76.55H $76.55L $74.24C $75.48VOL 6.21M
RES: $148.8SUP: $68.72SMA50: $96.48SMA200: $97.90
$140.1$121.5$102.9$84.34$65.76RES $148.8SUP $68.72$75.482026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SE Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SE β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #337 of 1009 βš”οΈ IT vs SE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SE vs. IT, RTO, SCI, HRB)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sea Limited American (SE) ranks #337 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #45 by equity capitalization ($45.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRB leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while IT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.5% ROIC and 68.8% gross margin. HRB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with SE at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SE ACTIVE
Sea Limited American
C- 59/100 29.7x 52.2% 10.2% +1.67% $45.47B Benchmark Subject
IT
Gartner Inc.
B+ 76/100 19.5x 68.8% 51.5% +2.83% $14.45B /it-vs-se β†’
RTO
Rentokil Initial plc American
D+ 57/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +3.22% $11.76B /rto-vs-se β†’
SCI
Service Corporation International
D 49/100 18.9x 26.5% 11.9% +1.69% $10.38B /sci-vs-se β†’
HRB
H&R Block Inc.
A- 82/100 10.1x 44.5% 46.2% +1.83% $6.29B /hrb-vs-se β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001703399 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sea Limited American (SE) reported GAAP revenue of $19.63B (+33.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.73B , and +71.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.58B, operating cash flow of $5.02B, and free cash flow of $4.51B (+52.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SE closed FY2025 with $29.37B in total assets against $7.53B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.61, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $19.63B $1.58B $5.02B $4.51B $29.37B $7.53B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $14.73B $444.3M $3.28B $2.96B $22.63B $6.37B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.45B $150.7M $2.08B $1.56B $25.79B $6.03B

3. SE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sea Limited American (NYSE: SE) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $75.48 (+1.67% 1D, market cap $45.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SE ranks #337 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SE compare to IT and RTO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), SE carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.7x, gross margin of 52.2%, and ROIC of 10.2%. By comparison, IT (Gartner Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 51.5%, cap $14.45B) and RTO (Rentokil Initial plc American) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRB leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while IT leads on capital efficiency (51.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SE?

Per SE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703399), Sea Limited American generated $19.63B in revenue (+33.2% YoY), $1.58B in net income, and $4.51B in free cash flow against $29.37B in total assets and $7.53B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SE last traded at $75.48 (+1.67% on volume of 9,355,862 shares), positioning the stock -21.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($96.48) and -22.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($97.90). Across its 52-week range of $71.53 to $159.80, SE sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.7% ($69.67 to $81.29).

Direct Sub-Reports: SE RQD Cockpit SE 12M Forecast SE Earnings & Move SE Dividends & DRIP SE Insiders & 13F SE Whale Options SE Profit Sankey SE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SE β€” Sea Limited American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sea Limited American (SE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $75.48 (+1.67% 1D, market capitalization $45.47B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.2%, gross margin of 52.2%, operating margin of 10.1%, and free cash flow yield of 9.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.61, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.56x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sea Limited American is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Consumer Services industry..9B.2% and operating margin of 10.1% per the market data reflect its reported profitability profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sea Limited American (SE) reported $19.63B in annual revenue (up from $14.73B in FY2024, +33.2% YoY) and $1.58B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.45B revenue, $150.7M net income) through FY2025, SE scaled operating cash flow to $5.02B and free cash flow to $4.51B, backed by $29.37B in total assets against $7.53B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C- β€’ RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (52.2% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $71.53 – $159.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 29.7x trailing P/E and 20.5x EV/EBITDA against 10.1% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated classification, and second-order bottlenecks are β€” The only sector context available is the classification of Consumer Discretionary and Other Consumer Services.

  • Key Question #1: Can SE sustain or expand its 10.1% operating margin and 10.2% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $19.63B and free cash flow of $4.51B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.53B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SE's 24.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

SE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sea Limited American (SE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $75.48?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.51 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash generation is strong, with an FCF yield of 9.62% and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 supporting the fundamental pillar.

Here is why I am bullish on SE here at $74.24: Cash generation is strong, with an FCF yield of 9.62% and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 supporting the fundamental pillar.. Compare SE's 10.1% operating margin and 10.2% ROIC against the rest of Other Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $70.53 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” SE's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.91 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $74.24

Institutional flow is weak, scoring 6 of 20 in the whale 13F pillar, while the macro regime pillar scores only 10 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SE above $74.24. Institutional flow is weak, scoring 6 of 20 in the whale 13F pillar, while the macro regime pillar scores only 10 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (9.62%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $159.80.

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