Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SEED Stock slipped -1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SEED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Origin Agritech Limited (NASDAQ: SEED) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $11.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SEED ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SEED compare to TULP and LOCL in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), SEED carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TULP (Bloomia Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M) and LOCL (Local Bounti Corporation) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.8%, cap $21.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEED?
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Per SEED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001321851), Origin Agritech Limited generated $12.8M in revenue (-20.6% YoY), -$7.5M in net income, and -$4.8M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 7% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEED Turnaround Squeeze
While SEED currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.89) and Max Pain ($0.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.88.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SEED Stock slipped -1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) slipped -1.86% to $0.76, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($0.66 – $1.79). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7.0% gross margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($0.66 – $1.79) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Aoxiangyu 819, Aoyu 966, and Aoyu 288 delivered yield gains of 6.0% to 8.6% over control varieties in two-year national regional trials; 30-day public notice period runs through November 22, 2026 BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2026 (
Three of its corn varieties, Aoxiangyu 819, Aoyu 966, and Aoyu 288, have passed the preliminary review of the 13th Session of the Fifth National Crop Variety Approval Committee of China. The three varieties are bred for
Seed orders for the FY 2027 season up more than 100% Ytd, targeting 50%+ Yoy revenue growth for FY 2027 BEIJING, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Origin Agritech Limited (NASDAQ: SEED) (“Origin” or the “Company”), a lea
Three-Year Agreement Appoints Jinan Jingkun Trading as Exclusive Provincial General Distributor; Initial Prepayments Received Toward 2026–2027 Corn Seed Operating Cycle BEIJING, Oct. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Origin A
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEED)
- ✓Walkthrough of SEED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SEED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -20.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEED today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEED)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SEED vs. TULP, LOCL, MGN, AGRZ)
Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) ranks #106 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #125 by equity capitalization ($11.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGN leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while MGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.0% ROIC and 1.7% gross margin. AGRZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEED at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEED
ACTIVE
Origin Agritech Limited | D- | 39/100 | — | 7.0% | — | -1.86% | $11.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| TULP Bloomia Holdings Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $10.9M | /tulp-vs-seed → |
| LOCL Local Bounti Corporation | E | 31/100 | — | 12.1% | -15.8% | -1.01% | $21.8M | /locl-vs-seed → |
| MGN Megan Holdings Limited (Class A) | E | 30/100 | 22.8x | 1.7% | 1.0% | -8.98% | $5.1M | /mgn-vs-seed → |
| AGRZ Agroz Inc. (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -12.08% | $4.5M | /agrz-vs-seed → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001321851 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) reported GAAP revenue of $12.8M (-20.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.2M , and -1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.5M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$4.8M (-68.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEED closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $12.8M | -$7.5M | -$3.2M | -$4.8M | $14.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $16.2M | $3.0M | -$2.1M | -$2.9M | — | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $13.0M | $7.7M | -$759.0K | -$759.0K | — | — |
3. SEED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SEED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Origin Agritech Limited (NASDAQ: SEED) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (-1.86% 1D, market cap $11.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SEED ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SEED compare to TULP and LOCL in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), SEED carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TULP (Bloomia Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M) and LOCL (Local Bounti Corporation) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.8%, cap $21.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEED?
Per SEED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001321851), Origin Agritech Limited generated $12.8M in revenue (-20.6% YoY), -$7.5M in net income, and -$4.8M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SEED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SEED last traded at $0.76 (-1.86% on volume of 19,239 shares), positioning the stock -14.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.89) and -28.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.07). Across its 52-week range of $0.66 to $1.79, SEED sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.86).
SEED — Origin Agritech Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.76 (-1.86% 1D, market capitalization $11.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 7.0%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating within the Farming/Seeds/Milling industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $10.6M market cap in market data. —: product lines, customer base, and revenue mechanics beyond the reported revenue figures in the financials.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) reported $12.8M in annual revenue (up from $16.2M in FY2024, -20.6% YoY) and -$7.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($13.0M revenue, $7.7M net income) through FY2025, SEED scaled operating cash flow to -$3.2M and free cash flow to -$4.8M, backed by $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.66 – $1.79 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
—: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation links. Investors should note that the sector and industry classification alone does not establish dependencies, and the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can SEED sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Farming/Seeds/Milling peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.8M and free cash flow of -$4.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SEED's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SEED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FinancialContent report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Aoxiangyu 819, Aoyu 966, and Aoyu 288 delivered yield gains of 6.0% to 8.6% over control varieties in two-year national regional trials; 30-day public notice period runs through November 22, 2026 BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2026 (
Three of its corn varieties, Aoxiangyu 819, Aoyu 966, and Aoyu 288, have passed the preliminary review of the 13th Session of the Fifth National Crop Variety Approval Committee of China. The three varieties are bred for
SEED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.76?
Shares trade at $0.75, near the low end of a $0.66 to $1.79 52-week range, with a 1.44% dividend yield reported.
Shares trade at $0.75, near the low end of a $0.66 to $1.79 52-week range, with a 1.44% dividend yield reported.. When you look under the hood at SEED, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 7.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1.79. My 12M target is $0.89.
@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.77 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.
Reported FY 2025 net income of -$7.5M and free cash flow of -$4.8M, with a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, against a market cap of $10
Careful chasing SEED at $0.77. Reported FY 2025 net income of -$7.5M and free cash flow of -$4.8M, with a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, against a market cap of $10.6M.. Gross margin is 7.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.65 on multiple compression.