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STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$63.55 +1.31% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.58

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $250.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STRT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: STRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $63.55 (+1.31% 1D, market cap $250.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRT ranks #469 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), STRT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 16.5%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $318.8M) and MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?
β–Ό

Per STRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000933034), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION generated $579.4M in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $20.6M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $392.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.58 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 6.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (4)SEC (14)Macro (6)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$98 Bull$62 Base$49 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE STRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY STRT SCORES 54/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$63.69-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$60.58+4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$63.57+0% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$63.55-0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ D+ (54)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While STRT currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($66.78) and Max Pain ($66.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $97.65.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSTRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of STRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
STRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.68%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $64.38H $64.38L $62.73C $63.55VOL 138.0K
RES: $107.1SUP: $57.92SMA50: $66.78SMA200: $76.71
$95.52$85.08$74.65$64.21$53.77RES $107.1SUP $57.92$63.552026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #469 of 1009 βš”οΈ HLLY vs STRT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRT vs. HLLY, MPAA, CPS, SRI)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) ranks #469 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #663 by equity capitalization ($250.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. MPAA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with STRT at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STRT ACTIVE
STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION
D+ 54/100 12.5x 16.5% 15.2% +1.31% $250.0M Benchmark Subject
HLLY
Holley Inc.
D+ 52/100 16.8x 43.4% 7.0% +4.56% $318.8M /hlly-vs-strt β†’
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America Inc.
D+ 56/100 16.3x 20.2% 21.6% +0.87% $195.2M /mpaa-vs-strt β†’
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 11.9% 85.0% +4.04% $356.6M /cps-vs-strt β†’
SRI
Stoneridge Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” 19.9% -24.1% +1.59% $162.0M /sri-vs-strt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-06-28 β€’ CIK 0000933034 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) reported GAAP revenue of $579.4M (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.1M , and +17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.6M, operating cash flow of $46.3M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-39.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRT closed FY2025 with $392.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-28 $579.4M $20.6M $46.3M $39.0M $392.2M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-29 $565.1M $18.7M $71.7M $64.5M $355.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-07-02 $492.9M -$6.7M $10.1M $10.1M β€” β€”

3. STRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: STRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $63.55 (+1.31% 1D, market cap $250.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRT ranks #469 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), STRT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 16.5%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $318.8M) and MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?

Per STRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000933034), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION generated $579.4M in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $20.6M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $392.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRT last traded at $63.55 (+1.31% on volume of 103,117 shares), positioning the stock -4.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($66.78) and -17.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.71). Across its 52-week range of $57.01 to $93.00, STRT sits at the 18.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.7% ($59.29 to $67.81).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 54/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STRT β€” STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $63.55 (+1.31% 1D, market capitalization $250.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.2%, gross margin of 16.5%, operating margin of 4.6%, and free cash flow yield of 15.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.45, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry. Customer identities, product lines, and revenue mix by segment are β€” The profile describes the company as operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. With a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-28), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) reported $579.4M in annual revenue (up from $565.1M in FY2024, +2.5% YoY) and $20.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($492.9M revenue, -$6.7M net income) through FY2025, STRT scaled operating cash flow to $46.3M and free cash flow to $39.0M, backed by $392.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 15.19% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $57.01 – $93.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 12.5x trailing P/E and 4.8x EV/EBITDA against 4.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with an empty list of butterfly links and an empty list of proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the classification of Consumer Discretionary and Auto Parts:O.E.M. Are β€” Because no links are recorded, second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data. An investor would want to watch whether the Auto Parts:O.E.M.

  • Key Question #1: Can STRT sustain or expand its 4.6% operating margin and 15.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $579.4M and free cash flow of $39.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STRT's 11.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

STRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to STRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $63.55?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STRT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $72.14 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Low trailing P/E of 12.5 and EV/EBITDA of 4.8 combined with a 15.2% ROIC and 15.19% FCF yield, plus a 17 of 20 insider conviction pilla

Low trailing P/E of 12.5 and EV/EBITDA of 4.8 combined with a 15.2% ROIC and 15.19% FCF yield, plus a 17 of 20 insider conviction pillar.. When you look under the hood at STRT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 16.5% gross margins and 15.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $93.00. My 12M target is $72.14.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 12.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. If gross margin (16.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.32 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $62.73

Thin 3.6% net margin, a 5 of 20 whale 13F flow pillar, and a 7 of 20 macro regime fit with beta of 1.0 leave the RQD verdict at Trim.

Fading this rally in STRT at $62.73. Thin 3.6% net margin, a 5 of 20 whale 13F flow pillar, and a 7 of 20 macro regime fit with beta of 1.0 leave the RQD verdict at Trim.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $62.73 (52-wk range $57.01–$93.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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