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VRNS (63) ACIW (74) KVYO (61) OCTV (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$47.45 -6.50% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.80

Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.59B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TENB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Tenable Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: TENB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $47.45 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $5.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TENB ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TENB compare to VRNS and ACIW in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TENB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.1%, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, VRNS (Varonis Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.3%, cap $5.61B) and ACIW (ACI Worldwide Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACIW leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while ACIW leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TENB?
β–Ό

Per TENB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001660280), Tenable Holdings Inc. generated $999.4M in revenue (+11.0% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $254.6M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $639.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.80 (-1.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 25.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$56 Bull$47 Base$37 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TENB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TENB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TENB SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.5% FCF Margin ($254.6M FCF) & 78.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (70.5) create a -12 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$38.12+6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$40.67+19.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$48.72-2.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$47.45+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TENB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, TENB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.09) or 200D SMA ($29.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($47.45) toward Bear Floor ($37.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TENBβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTENB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $21,390

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $385/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.8K
Yr 6
$17.0K
Yr 7
$18.4K
Yr 8
$19.8K
Yr 9
$21.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TENB)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TENB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TENB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +127.80%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $51.78H $51.78L $47.45C $47.45VOL 3.98M
RES: $53.94SUP: $33.10SMA50: $39.09SMA200: $29.20
$55.60$45.76$35.92$26.08$16.24RES $53.94SUP $33.10$47.452026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TENB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TENB Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TENB β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TENB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TENB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TENB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TENB)

Technology Rank #237 of 715 βš”οΈ VRNS vs TENB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TENB vs. VRNS, ACIW, KVYO, OCTV)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #202 by equity capitalization ($5.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACIW leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while ACIW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 49.0% gross margin. ACIW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with TENB at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TENB ACTIVE
Tenable Holdings Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” 78.1% -1.0% -6.50% $5.59B Benchmark Subject
VRNS
Varonis Systems Inc.
C 63/100 β€” 78.8% -15.3% -0.20% $5.61B /vrns-vs-tenb β†’
ACIW
ACI Worldwide Inc.
B 74/100 24.8x 49.0% 12.4% +3.66% $5.69B /aciw-vs-tenb β†’
KVYO
Klaviyo Inc. (Series A)
C- 61/100 β€” 74.7% -11.5% +8.24% $5.73B /kvyo-vs-tenb β†’
OCTV
Octave Intelligence plc (Class B)
C- 61/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.53% $5.83B /octv-vs-tenb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001660280 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) reported GAAP revenue of $999.4M (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $900.0M , and +25.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.1M, operating cash flow of $266.8M, and free cash flow of $254.6M (+19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TENB closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $639.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.22, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $999.4M -$36.1M $266.8M $254.6M $1.75B $639.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $900.0M -$36.3M $217.5M $213.2M $1.74B $604.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $798.7M -$78.3M $149.9M $113.9M $3.14B $734.0M

3. TENB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TENB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tenable Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: TENB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $47.45 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $5.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TENB ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TENB compare to VRNS and ACIW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TENB carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.1%, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, VRNS (Varonis Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.3%, cap $5.61B) and ACIW (ACI Worldwide Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACIW leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while ACIW leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TENB?

Per TENB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001660280), Tenable Holdings Inc. generated $999.4M in revenue (+11.0% YoY), -$36.1M in net income, and $254.6M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $639.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TENB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TENB last traded at $47.45 (-6.50% on volume of 3,740,095 shares), positioning the stock +21.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.09) and +62.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($29.20). Across its 52-week range of $15.73 to $53.22, TENB sits at the 84.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($41.52 to $53.38).

Direct Sub-Reports: TENB RQD Cockpit TENB 12M Forecast TENB Earnings & Move TENB Dividends & DRIP TENB Insiders & 13F TENB Whale Options TENB Profit Sankey TENB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TENB β€” Tenable Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.45 (-6.50% 1D, market capitalization $5.59B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.0%, gross margin of 78.1%, operating margin of -0.9%, and free cash flow yield of 4.47%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.19x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.22, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.83x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. The company's gross margin is 78.1%, per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) reported $999.4M in annual revenue (up from $900.0M in FY2024, +11.0% YoY) and -$36.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($798.7M revenue, -$78.3M net income) through FY2025, TENB scaled operating cash flow to $266.8M and free cash flow to $254.6M, backed by $1.75B in total assets against $639.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 4.47% and institutional whale pillar of 18/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.73 – $53.22 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.9% operating margins and a 1.19x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are β€” Sector correlation data beyond the stated sector and industry is β€” For a prospective investor, the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify specific 2nd-order bottlenecks from the provided sources; the practical watch item is that the beta of 1.19 implies sensitivity to broader technology-sector moves.

  • Key Question #1: Can TENB sustain or expand its -0.9% operating margin and -1.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $999.4M and free cash flow of $254.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $639.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TENB's 28.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.19x)?

TENB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tenable Holdings Inc. (TENB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TENB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TENB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $47.45?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TENB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TENB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.88 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 18 of 20, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating, and the stock rose 6.28% on

Here is why I am bullish on TENB here at $50.75: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 18 of 20, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating, and the stock rose 6.28% on the session.. Compare TENB's -0.9% operating margin and -1.0% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $48.21 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 18/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $50.75 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.09 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $50.75

ROIC is -1%, operating margin is -0.9%, and trailing EPS is -0.33, while forward P/E sits at 28.

ROIC is -1%, operating margin is -0.9%, and trailing EPS is -0.33, while forward P/E sits at 28.. Look at the math on TENB: paying 28.0x forward P/E for -1.0% ROIC and -0.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $44.66 before getting long.

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