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Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.30 -7.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $76.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Venu Holding Corporation (NYSE: VENU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-7.14% 1D, market cap $76.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VENU ranks #971 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VENU compare to GDHG and CPHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), VENU carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M) and CPHC (Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New') posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.7%, cap $81.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VENU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?
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Per VENU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001770501), Venu Holding Corporation generated $17.9M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$44.1M in net income, and -$134.0M in free cash flow against $370.6M in total assets and $56.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28 (-1.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$15 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE VENU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VENU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VENU SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$1.24-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
17
Grade E$1.20+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$1.28+1.6% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$1.30-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VENU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VENU currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.52) and Max Pain ($1.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VENU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VENU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VENU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VENU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VENU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.49%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.40H $1.40L $1.30C $1.30VOL 455.9K
RES: $1.30SUP: $0.88SMA50: $1.52SMA200: $3.20
$9.90$7.51$5.12$2.74$0.35RES $1.30SUP $0.88$1.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VENU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VENU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VENU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VENU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VENU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #971 of 1009 ⚔️ GDHG vs VENU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VENU vs. GDHG, CPHC, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) ranks #971 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #771 by equity capitalization ($76.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VENU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CPHC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with VENU at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VENU ACTIVE
Venu Holding Corporation
E 22/100 — — -31.1% -7.14% $76.5M Benchmark Subject
GDHG
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
D 46/100 — 50.2% — +0.91% $72.7M /gdhg-vs-venu →
CPHC
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'
C 63/100 — — 2.7% +0.51% $81.6M /cphc-vs-venu →
TP
Ticketplus Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — +4.21% $107.5M /tp-vs-venu →
GAME
GameSquare Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 — 43.4% -35.0% -3.09% $46.4M /game-vs-venu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001770501 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) reported GAAP revenue of $17.9M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.8M , and +42.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.1M, operating cash flow of $7.6M, and free cash flow of -$134.0M (-95.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VENU closed FY2025 with $370.6M in total assets against $56.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.9M -$44.1M $7.6M -$134.0M $370.6M $56.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.8M -$30.3M $3.8M -$68.7M $178.4M $14.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.6M -$10.5M -$4.9M -$4.9M — —

3. VENU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Venu Holding Corporation (NYSE: VENU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-7.14% 1D, market cap $76.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VENU ranks #971 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VENU compare to GDHG and CPHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), VENU carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M) and CPHC (Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New') posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.7%, cap $81.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VENU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?

Per VENU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001770501), Venu Holding Corporation generated $17.9M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$44.1M in net income, and -$134.0M in free cash flow against $370.6M in total assets and $56.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VENU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VENU last traded at $1.30 (-7.14% on volume of 455,910 shares), positioning the stock -14.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.52) and -59.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.20). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $13.96, VENU sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.14 to $1.46).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VENU — Venu Holding Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.30 (-7.14% 1D, market capitalization $76.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -31.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.56x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The profile identifies the company as a market-capitalization issuer of approximately $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) reported $17.9M in annual revenue (up from $17.8M in FY2024, +0.4% YoY) and -$44.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.6M revenue, -$10.5M net income) through FY2025, VENU scaled operating cash flow to $7.6M and free cash flow to -$134.0M, backed by $370.6M in total assets against $56.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.09 – $13.96 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can VENU sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -31.1% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.9M and free cash flow of -$134.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $56.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VENU's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VENU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VENU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VENU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VENU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VENU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.68 (+29.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Price rose 3.7% on 427188 shares of volume, with the stock trading well above its 52-week low of $1.09.

The street is overcomplicating Venu Holding Corporation (VENU). Price rose 3.7% on 427188 shares of volume, with the stock trading well above its 52-week low of $1.09.. With an RQD score of 22/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.40.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 22/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.30 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.21.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.03 (-20.8%)
Spot @ $1.30

Reported operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -31.1% sit alongside an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a 22/100 RQD score.

Reported operating margin of -60% and ROIC of -31.1% sit alongside an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a 22/100 RQD score.. Look at the math on VENU: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -31.1% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.14 before getting long.

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