Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.30 -7.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $76.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Venu Holding Corporation (NYSE: VENU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-7.14% 1D, market cap $76.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VENU ranks #973 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VENU compare to GDHG and CPHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), VENU carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M) and CPHC (Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New') posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.7%, cap $81.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VENU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?
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Per VENU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001770501), Venu Holding Corporation generated $17.9M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$44.1M in net income, and -$134.0M in free cash flow against $370.6M in total assets and $56.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28 (-1.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$15 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE VENU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VENU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VENU SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$1.24-3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
17
Grade E$1.20+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$1.28+1.6% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$1.30-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VENU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VENU currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.52) and Max Pain ($1.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VENU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VENU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your VENU Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.30: 7692.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.85
$6,538
$-3,462 (-34.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.09
$8,385
$-1,615 (-16.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.66
$112,769
+$102,769 (+1027.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VENU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VENU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
VENU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.49%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.40H $1.40L $1.30C $1.30VOL 455.9K
RES: $1.30SUP: $0.88SMA50: $1.52SMA200: $3.20
$9.90$7.51$5.12$2.74$0.35RES $1.30SUP $0.88$1.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VENU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VENU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VENU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VENU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VENU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #973 of 1011 ⚔️ GDHG vs VENU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VENU vs. GDHG, CPHC, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) ranks #973 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #773 by equity capitalization ($76.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VENU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CPHC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with VENU at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VENU ACTIVE
Venu Holding Corporation
E 22/100 — — -31.1% -7.14% $76.5M Benchmark Subject
GDHG
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
D 46/100 — 50.2% — +0.91% $72.7M /gdhg-vs-venu →
CPHC
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'
C 63/100 — — 2.7% +0.51% $81.6M /cphc-vs-venu →
TP
Ticketplus Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — +4.21% $107.5M /tp-vs-venu →
GAME
GameSquare Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 — 43.4% -35.0% -3.09% $46.4M /game-vs-venu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001770501

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) reported GAAP revenue of $17.9M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.8M , and +42.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.1M, operating cash flow of $7.6M, and free cash flow of -$134.0M (-95.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VENU closed FY2025 with $370.6M in total assets against $56.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.9M -$44.1M $7.6M -$134.0M $370.6M $56.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.8M -$30.3M $3.8M -$68.7M $178.4M $14.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.6M -$10.5M -$4.9M -$4.9M — —

3. VENU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Venu Holding Corporation (NYSE: VENU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-7.14% 1D, market cap $76.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VENU ranks #973 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VENU compare to GDHG and CPHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), VENU carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M) and CPHC (Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New') posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.7%, cap $81.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VENU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?

Per VENU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001770501), Venu Holding Corporation generated $17.9M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$44.1M in net income, and -$134.0M in free cash flow against $370.6M in total assets and $56.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VENU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VENU last traded at $1.30 (-7.14% on volume of 455,910 shares), positioning the stock -14.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.52) and -59.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.20). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $13.96, VENU sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.14 to $1.46).

VENU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is VENU's 12-month stock price target?

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.09 (-16.2% from $1.30), with a bull-case target of $14.66 and a bear-case floor of $0.85.

Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates VENU E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 22/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VENU — Venu Holding Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, VENU carries an RQD Score of 22 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 2/20 (ROIC -31.1%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.56). The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar, which carries the most weight in the framework's logic, is the weakest contributor, reflecting negative return on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield. The Forensic Balance Sheet score is also low, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9. For a prospective investor, these pillar readings indicate that the framework identifies limited cash-generation support and elevated forensic risk. Upside drivers that the scores do not capture would need to come from outside the reported data, which this dossier does not contain. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be meaningfully assessed here because earnings-based multiples are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$17.9M$-46.1M$-44.1MN/A$-134.0M$41.3M$56.6M
FY 2024$17.8M$-27.4M$-30.3MN/A$-68.7MN/A$14.1M
FY 2023$12.6M$-11.1M$-10.5MN/A$-4.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported operating and net losses widened across the three periods, with FY 2025 showing an operating loss of $-46.1M and a net loss of $-44.1M. Per the market data section, the operating margin and net margin are each -60%, the gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -31.1%. The Roarable RQD rating records an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 cash is $41.3M against debt of $56.6M, while FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash figures are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What products or services generate VENU's reported revenue, and who are its customers?
  • What drove the widening operating losses between FY 2023 and FY 2025, and what is the company's stated path toward profitability?
  • How was FY 2025 free cash flow of $-134.0M funded relative to cash of $41.3M and debt of $56.6M?
  • What are the forward earnings and valuation multiples, which are absent from the current source data?
  • What is the institutional and insider ownership composition, given that holders and analyst data are unavailable?

VENU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VENU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VENU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.30?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VENU 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VENU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.23 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VENU (E • RQD 22/100) a Buy at $1.40?

Welcome to the VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.11 (-20.7%)
Spot @ $1.40

Pump the brakes on VENU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VENU, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Venu Holding Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.60 (+14.3%)
Spot @ $1.40

VENU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VENU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.40 (52-wk range $1.09 - $13.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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