Wayfair Inc. (W) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.4% Move

$115.91 -3.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $114.96

Wayfair Inc. (W) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $16.45B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is W stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $115.91 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $16.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, W ranks #314 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does W compare to CDW and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), W carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 1.0%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $20.65B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $26.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for W?
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Per W's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616707), Wayfair Inc. generated $12.46B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), -$313.0M in net income, and $464.0M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $3.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $114.96 (-0.82%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (19)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$139 Bull$117 Base$92 Bear
📬 FREE W RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for W)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY W SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.7% FCF Margin ($464.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.1) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$107.99+5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$113.56-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$112.95+2.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$115.91+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the W Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, W faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($105.47) or 200D SMA ($88.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($117.47) toward Bear Floor ($91.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $W• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “W Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.4% Swing Band

±$10.90 Expected Swing
$105.01 (-9.4%)Spot $115.91$126.81 (+9.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

W Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $-2.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.1%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$12.46B-$313.0M$464.0M30.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$11.85B-$492.0M$244.0M30.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$12.00B-$738.0M-$191.1M30.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating W & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on W
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
W // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +78.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $114.0H $120.1L $114.0C $115.9VOL 3.33M
RES: $121.0SUP: $102.9SMA50: $105.5SMA200: $88.70
$125.5$106.5$87.60$68.66$49.72RES $121.0SUP $102.9$115.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

W Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on W today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for W. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for W today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (W)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #314 of 1011 ⚔️ CDW vs W Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (W vs. CDW, CPNG, CHWY, VIPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wayfair Inc. (W) ranks #314 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #116 by equity capitalization ($16.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CDW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with W at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
W ACTIVE
Wayfair Inc.
C- 61/100 — 30.2% 1.0% -3.50% $16.45B Benchmark Subject
CDW
CDW Corporation
B+ 76/100 19.4x 21.7% 19.8% -6.91% $20.65B /cdw-vs-w →
CPNG
Coupang Inc.
D 47/100 125.9x 29.4% 9.7% -1.37% $26.19B /cpng-vs-w →
CHWY
Chewy Inc.
C- 60/100 37.6x 29.8% 30.0% +2.21% $8.37B /chwy-vs-w →
VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two
C- 60/100 5.9x 23.1% 35.7% +1.10% $6.12B /vips-vs-w →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001616707

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wayfair Inc. (W) reported GAAP revenue of $12.46B (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.85B , and +3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$313.0M, operating cash flow of $534.0M, and free cash flow of $464.0M (+90.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, W closed FY2025 with $3.44B in total assets against $3.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.22, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.46B -$313.0M $534.0M $464.0M $3.44B $3.23B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.85B -$492.0M $317.0M $244.0M $3.46B $2.88B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.00B -$738.0M $349.0M -$191.1M $14.40B $3.37B

3. W Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is W stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $115.91 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $16.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, W ranks #314 in composite RQD confidence.

How does W compare to CDW and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), W carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 1.0%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $20.65B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $26.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for W?

Per W's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616707), Wayfair Inc. generated $12.46B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), -$313.0M in net income, and $464.0M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $3.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is W trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

W last traded at $115.91 (-3.50% on volume of 2,196,832 shares), positioning the stock +9.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.47) and +30.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.70). Across its 52-week range of $55.60 to $120.90, W sits at the 92.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($105.01 to $126.81).

W Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is W's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Wayfair Inc. (W)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is W stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.4% event move for W, spanning a range between $105.01 and $126.81.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

W — Wayfair Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Wayfair Inc. scores 61 out of 100, grade C-, verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 13 of 20 (ROIC 1%; FCF yield 2.82%), indicating thin returns on invested capital despite positive free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 19 of 20, the strongest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 with a beta of 1.05 and noted sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 12 of 20, citing Altman Z 3.22, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.85. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and recovery in cash generation, while the valuation tradeoff is steep: forward P/E of 34 and EV/EBITDA of 95 leave little margin for execution slippage. Insider flow and macro sensitivity are weaker supports, so the rating's neutral label reflects a mix of strong positioning against stretched valuation and limited profitability.

Business

Wayfair Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. Per the company profile, it is a publicly traded US issuer with a market capitalization of $16.5B. The source data does not describe its product categories, customer base, or revenue mechanics beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12457.0M$17.0M$-313.0MN/A$464.0M$1476.0M$3233.0M
FY 2024$11851.0M$-461.0M$-492.0MN/A$244.0M$1316.0M$2882.0M
FY 2023$12003.0M$-813.0M$-738.0MN/A$-191.1MN/A$3370.4M

Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from losses in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to a small positive $17.0M in FY 2025, while net income remained negative at $-313.0M. Market data reports a gross margin of 30.2%, operating margin of 0.1%, and net margin of -2.5%, with ROIC of 1%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.22 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.85, and reported debt fell from $3370.4M in FY 2023 to $3233.0M in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive.

Open Questions

  • What is the reported EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, given that the financials list EPS as N/A while the market data lists EPS (TTM) at -2.29?
  • What is the trailing P/E, given that the source data does not supply it, and how should the forward P/E of 34 be reconciled with negative trailing earnings?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 operating loss of $-461.0M to FY 2025 operating income of $17.0M, and is that sustainable?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A, and does the FCF yield of 2.82% reflect the same cash-generation basis as the reported FCF figures?
  • What specific institutional and options positioning sits behind the 19 of 20 whale-flow score, since no holder or 13F detail is provided?

W Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wayfair Inc. (W) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to W Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

W Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $115.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON W 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on W:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $129.73 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is W (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $120.12?

Welcome to the W (Wayfair Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $96.10 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $120.12

Pump the brakes on W — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on W, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Wayfair Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $141.74 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $120.12

W cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on W, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $120.12 (52-wk range $55.60 - $120.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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