Yahoo Finance report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why W Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Wayfair Inc. (W) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is W stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $115.91 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $15.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, W ranks #318 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does W compare to CDW and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), W carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 1.0%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $19.23B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $25.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for W?
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Per W's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616707), Wayfair Inc. generated $12.46B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), -$313.0M in net income, and $464.0M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $3.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.7% FCF Margin ($464.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.6) create a -12 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the W Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, W faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($105.70) or 200D SMA ($88.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.95) toward Bear Floor ($91.22).
Why W Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Wayfair Inc. (W) dropped -3.50% to $115.91, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($55.6 – $120.9). Solid 30% profit margin (1% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($55.6 – $120.9) with RSI-14 at 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $115.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 30.2% gross margin and $464.0M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Ad Age report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
W heads into Q3 earnings with 7.84% revenue growth estimated, supported by stronger orders and loyalty gains, even as housing and overseas demand weigh.
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla., October 30, 2026--ShipMonk, the global fulfillment provider that helps mid-market and enterprise brands grow faster, today announced that Todd Bills has joined the company as Chief Operating Office
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (W Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
W Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on W today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for W. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (W)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (W vs. CDW, CPNG, CHWY, VIPS)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wayfair Inc. (W) ranks #318 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #121 by equity capitalization ($15.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CDW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with W at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W
ACTIVE
Wayfair Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | 30.2% | 1.0% | -3.50% | $15.88B | Benchmark Subject |
| CDW CDW Corporation | B | 72/100 | 19.4x | 21.7% | 19.8% | -6.91% | $19.23B | /cdw-vs-w → |
| CPNG Coupang Inc. | D | 47/100 | 125.9x | 29.4% | 9.7% | -1.37% | $25.83B | /cpng-vs-w → |
| CHWY Chewy Inc. | C | 62/100 | 37.6x | 29.8% | 30.0% | +2.21% | $8.56B | /chwy-vs-w → |
| VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two | C- | 61/100 | 5.9x | 23.1% | 35.7% | +1.10% | $6.19B | /vips-vs-w → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001616707In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wayfair Inc. (W) reported GAAP revenue of $12.46B (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.85B , and +3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$313.0M, operating cash flow of $534.0M, and free cash flow of $464.0M (+90.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, W closed FY2025 with $3.44B in total assets against $3.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.22, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $12.46B | -$313.0M | $534.0M | $464.0M | $3.44B | $3.23B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $11.85B | -$492.0M | $317.0M | $244.0M | $3.46B | $2.88B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $12.00B | -$738.0M | $349.0M | -$191.1M | $14.40B | $3.37B |
3. W Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs W stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $115.91 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $15.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, W ranks #318 in composite RQD confidence.
How does W compare to CDW and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), W carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of 1.0%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $19.23B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $25.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for W?
Per W's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616707), Wayfair Inc. generated $12.46B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), -$313.0M in net income, and $464.0M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $3.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is W trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
W last traded at $115.91 (-3.50% on volume of 2,196,832 shares), positioning the stock +9.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.70) and +30.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.74). Across its 52-week range of $55.60 to $120.90, W sits at the 92.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($104.90 to $126.92).
W Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is W stock moving today?
Why W Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 30% profit margin (1% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
W — Wayfair Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, Wayfair Inc. scores 61 out of 100, grade C-, verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 13 of 20 (ROIC 1%; FCF yield 2.82%), indicating thin returns on invested capital despite positive free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 19 of 20, the strongest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 with a beta of 1.05 and noted sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 12 of 20, citing Altman Z 3.22, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.85. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and recovery in cash generation, while the valuation tradeoff is steep: forward P/E of 34 and EV/EBITDA of 95 leave little margin for execution slippage. Insider flow and macro sensitivity are weaker supports, so the rating's neutral label reflects a mix of strong positioning against stretched valuation and limited profitability.
Business
Wayfair Inc. is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. Per the company profile, it is a publicly traded US issuer with a market capitalization of $16.5B. The source data does not describe its product categories, customer base, or revenue mechanics beyond sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $12457.0M | $17.0M | $-313.0M | N/A | $464.0M | $1476.0M | $3233.0M |
| FY 2024 | $11851.0M | $-461.0M | $-492.0M | N/A | $244.0M | $1316.0M | $2882.0M |
| FY 2023 | $12003.0M | $-813.0M | $-738.0M | N/A | $-191.1M | N/A | $3370.4M |
Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from losses in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to a small positive $17.0M in FY 2025, while net income remained negative at $-313.0M. Market data reports a gross margin of 30.2%, operating margin of 0.1%, and net margin of -2.5%, with ROIC of 1%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.22 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.85, and reported debt fell from $3370.4M in FY 2023 to $3233.0M in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive.
Open Questions
- What is the reported EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, given that the financials list EPS as N/A while the market data lists EPS (TTM) at -2.29?
- What is the trailing P/E, given that the source data does not supply it, and how should the forward P/E of 34 be reconciled with negative trailing earnings?
- What drove the swing from FY 2024 operating loss of $-461.0M to FY 2025 operating income of $17.0M, and is that sustainable?
- What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A, and does the FCF yield of 2.82% reflect the same cash-generation basis as the reported FCF figures?
- What specific institutional and options positioning sits behind the 19 of 20 whale-flow score, since no holder or 13F detail is provided?
W Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wayfair Inc. (W) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Ad Age report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Wayfair Inc. (W) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
W Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $115.91?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is W (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $120.12?
Welcome to the W (Wayfair Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on W — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on W, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Wayfair Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
W cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on W, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $120.12 (52-wk range $55.60 - $120.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.