MARKET WIREFintel • 7d ago
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Repurchases Class A Ordinary Shares on New York Stock ExchangeWhy ZTO Stock advanced +1.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.15 +1.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $15.31B
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ZTO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ZTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE: ZTO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $20.15 (+1.36% 1D, market cap $15.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ZTO ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ZTO compare to JBHT and KNX in the Industrials sector?
▼
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ZTO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 25.0%, and ROIC of 12.5%. By comparison, JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B) and KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 150.9x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $9.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while JBHT leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZTO?
▼
Per ZTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677250), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American generated $7.02B in revenue (+15.7% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $965.8M in free cash flow against $13.02B in total assets and $1.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZTO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZTO SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.8% FCF Margin ($965.8M FCF) & 25% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$20.67-2.2% Next Q
73
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$20.22-0.8% Next Q
70
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$20.05+0.5% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade C$20.15+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZTO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, ZTO faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.26) or 200D SMA ($22.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.78) toward Bear Floor ($16.21).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZTO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZTO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ZTO Stock advanced +1.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) advanced +1.36% to $20.15, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($18.31 – $26.2). Solid 25% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($18.31 – $26.2) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±2.7% around $20.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 25% gross margin and $965.8M annual free cash flow.
Live ZTO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 17d ago
ZTO to Announce Third Quarter Financial Results of 2026 on November 17, 2026 U.S. Eastern TimeZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO and SEHK: 2057) ("ZTO" or the "Company"), a leading and fast-growing express delivery company in China, today announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the th
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 18d ago
This Align Technology Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For ThursdayAnalysts downgraded Envista, Cirrus Logic, ZTO Express, Align Technology and Par Pacific, with mixed price-target changes.
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 18d ago
Goldman Sachs Downgrades ZTO Express (Cayman) to Neutral, Lowers Price Target to $22Goldman Sachs analyst Ronald Keung downgrades ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) from Buy to Neutral and lowers the price target from $25 to $22.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 19d ago
13 Graham Value Dividend All-Stars (GVAS) Shine In OctoberRead here for a detailed analysis of Octoberâs top GVAS dividend stocks with projected 27%â68% gains by 2027.
CATALYSTChartMill • 20d ago
ZTO Express (NYSE:ZTO): A Growth-at-a-Reasonable-Price CandidateZTO Express fits a Peter Lynch GARP screen with 15.35% EPS growth, 0.63 PEG, low debt, and a value tilt.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ZTO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ZTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.34%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $19.75H $20.15L $19.75C $20.15VOL 1.96M
RES: $23.54SUP: $17.73SMA50: $20.26SMA200: $22.84
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ZTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZTO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZTO)
Industrials Rank #87 of 485
⚔️ JBHT vs ZTO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ZTO vs. JBHT, KNX, TFII, SAIA)
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #76 by equity capitalization ($15.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while JBHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.8% ROIC and — gross margin. JBHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ZTO at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTO
ACTIVE
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American | C | 65/100 | 11.8x | 25.0% | 12.5% | +1.36% | $15.31B | Benchmark Subject |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 34.6x | — | 15.8% | -0.44% | $20.70B | /jbht-vs-zto → |
| KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | 150.9x | — | 1.9% | -0.62% | $9.95B | /knx-vs-zto → |
| TFII TFI International Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -17.08% | $9.25B | /tfii-vs-zto → |
| SAIA Saia Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 35.9x | — | 8.5% | +0.45% | $9.15B | /saia-vs-zto → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001677250In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) reported GAAP revenue of $7.02B (+15.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.07B ) , GAAP net income of $1.30B, operating cash flow of $1.71B, and free cash flow of $965.8M (+13.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZTO closed FY2025 with $13.02B in total assets against $1.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.41, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $7.02B | $1.30B | $1.71B | $965.8M | $13.02B | $1.54B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.07B | $1.21B | $1.57B | $852.3M | $12.65B | $1.83B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $1.23B | $1.88B | $1.88B | $8.42B | $1.97B |
3. ZTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ZTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE: ZTO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $20.15 (+1.36% 1D, market cap $15.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ZTO ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ZTO compare to JBHT and KNX in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ZTO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 25.0%, and ROIC of 12.5%. By comparison, JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B) and KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 150.9x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $9.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while JBHT leads on capital efficiency (15.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZTO?
Per ZTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677250), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American generated $7.02B in revenue (+15.7% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and $965.8M in free cash flow against $13.02B in total assets and $1.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ZTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ZTO last traded at $20.15 (+1.36% on volume of 1,460,267 shares), positioning the stock -0.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.26) and -11.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.84). Across its 52-week range of $18.31 to $26.20, ZTO sits at the 23.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.7% ($19.61 to $20.69).
ZTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ZTO stock moving today?
Why ZTO Stock advanced +1.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 25% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
ZTO — ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:37Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ZTO carries an RQD Score of 65 and a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 12.5% and an FCF yield of 6.31%. These are solid cash-generation signals, but the score is not top-tier, implying the business earns reasonable returns without standing out sharply on cash productivity.
- Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score low. For a prospective investor, this suggests limited evidence of large institutional conviction building in the stock, which removes one potential source of upside momentum.
- Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score strongly. This is the highest-scoring pillar and is the main positive signal in the rating, indicating insiders and related filers show notable buying or activity clustering.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.11 and sector sensitivity place ZTO moderately exposed to market swings. An investor should expect amplified moves relative to the broader market in risk-off regimes.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 4.41, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15 point to a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage and strong internal health indicators.
Taken together, the rating reflects a company with a healthy balance sheet and credible cash returns, offset by weak institutional flow and moderate market sensitivity. A prospective investor should weigh the strong insider signal and forensic strength against the lack of institutional momentum and the valuation the market currently assigns, with the "Hold" verdict indicating a balanced rather than compelling risk-reward profile at this point.
Snapshot
Business
Per the profile, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry. Its market capitalization is $15.3B. Customer segments, service specifics, and detailed revenue mechanics are not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $7021.0M | $1497.9M | $1298.5M | N/A | $965.8M | $1431.6M | $1537.1M |
| FY 2024 | $6066.4M | $1613.4M | $1207.9M | N/A | $852.3M | $1844.8M | $1828.9M |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $1409.6M | $1232.3M | N/A | $1881.9M | N/A | $1969.8M |
Per the market data, gross margin is 25%, operating margin 21.3%, and net margin 18.5%, with ROIC of 12.5%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.41 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both indicating strong financial health. Debt/Equity is 0.15 per the RQD rating. Net income rose from $1207.9M in FY 2024 to $1298.5M in FY 2025, while debt declined from $1828.9M to $1537.1M over the same period, and cash fell from $1844.8M to $1431.6M. FY 2023 revenue is reported as $0.0M, which is not interpretable without further context.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.
Open Questions
- What drove the revenue reported at $0.0M for FY 2023, and is it a data gap or a reporting change?
- Why are EPS values listed as N/A across all periods, and what is the per-share earnings trend?
- What explains the decline in cash from $1844.8M to $1431.6M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 despite rising net income?
- What specific insider and Congressional transactions make up the cluster flow behind the 18/20 insider score?
- What is the company's revenue and customer mix, and what catalysts are expected in coming periods?
ZTO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 7d ago
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Repurchases Class A Ordinary Shares on New York Stock Exchange 🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 17d ago
ZTO to Announce Third Quarter Financial Results of 2026 on November 17, 2026 U.S. Eastern Time ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO and SEHK: 2057) ("ZTO" or the "Company"), a leading and fast-growing express delivery company in China, today announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the th
🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 18d ago
This Align Technology Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Thursday Analysts downgraded Envista, Cirrus Logic, ZTO Express, Align Technology and Par Pacific, with mixed price-target changes.
🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 18d ago
Goldman Sachs Downgrades ZTO Express (Cayman) to Neutral, Lowers Price Target to $22 Goldman Sachs analyst Ronald Keung downgrades ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) from Buy to Neutral and lowers the price target from $25 to $22.
🟢 CATALYST SeekingAlpha • 19d ago
13 Graham Value Dividend All-Stars (GVAS) Shine In October Read here for a detailed analysis of Octoberâs top GVAS dividend stocks with projected 27%â68% gains by 2027.
🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 20d ago
ZTO Express (NYSE:ZTO): A Growth-at-a-Reasonable-Price Candidate ZTO Express fits a Peter Lynch GARP screen with 15.35% EPS growth, 0.63 PEG, low debt, and a value tilt.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ZTO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.15?
🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZTO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST
🎯 Target: $21.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ZTO (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $19.88?
Welcome to the ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $16.50 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $19.88 Pump the brakes on ZTO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ZTO, but look at what you are paying: 11.8x trailing P/E with 25.0% gross margins. Unless ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $24.85 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $19.88 ZTO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ZTO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.88 (52-wk range $18.31 - $26.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.