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Stock Ratings / Industrials / TWIN
CUB (42) NNBR (29) QSI (41) HLP (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$24.75 +3.21% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.85

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $348.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TWIN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $348.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TWIN compare to CUB and NNBR in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M) and NNBR (NN Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $368.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?
β–Ό

Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.85 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510056
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$31 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TWIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TWIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TWIN SCORES 56/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($8.8M FCF) & 27.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$26.79-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$25.09-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$25.07-1.3% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$24.75-0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (64) β†’ D+ (56)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TWIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TWIN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 25.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.12) or 200D SMA ($20.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.53) toward Bear Floor ($19.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TWINβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTWIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.230 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.13>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE70% OF RANGE
L: $14$24.75H: $29
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (27.6% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on TWIN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

3.9% ROIC with 27.6% gross margin and 2.40% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.13 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TWIN
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TWIN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TWIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TWIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.67%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $25.29H $25.29L $23.98C $24.75VOL 52.5K
RES: $31.32SUP: $23.21SMA50: $25.12SMA200: $20.57
$30.26$26.03$21.79$17.56$13.33RES $31.32SUP $23.21$24.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TWIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TWIN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TWIN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWIN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TWIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWIN)

Industrials Rank #166 of 486 βš”οΈ CUB vs TWIN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TWIN vs. CUB, NNBR, QSI, HLP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #315 by equity capitalization ($348.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNBR leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. HLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TWIN at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TWIN ACTIVE
Twin Disc Incorporated
D+ 56/100 β€” 27.6% 3.9% +3.21% $348.6M Benchmark Subject
CUB
Lionheart Holdings (Class A)
D- 42/100 38.8x β€” -4.0% +0.09% $347.5M /cub-vs-twin β†’
NNBR
NN Inc.
E 29/100 10.9x β€” -8.5% -5.34% $368.4M /nnbr-vs-twin β†’
QSI
Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)
D- 41/100 β€” 47.3% -35.0% -13.70% $319.6M /qsi-vs-twin β†’
HLP
Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 β€” 32.5% 3.4% +0.25% $303.4M /hlp-vs-twin β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000100378 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) reported GAAP revenue of $340.7M (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $295.1M , and +657.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $24.0M, and free cash flow of $8.8M (-64.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWIN closed FY2025 with $384.0M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $340.7M -$1.9M $24.0M $8.8M $384.0M $41.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $295.1M $11.0M $33.7M $25.0M $307.4M $22.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $45.0M $10.4M $22.9M $22.9M β€” β€”

3. TWIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $348.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TWIN compare to CUB and NNBR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M) and NNBR (NN Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $368.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?

Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TWIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TWIN last traded at $24.75 (+3.21% on volume of 77,333 shares), positioning the stock -1.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.12) and +20.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.57). Across its 52-week range of $14.22 to $29.24, TWIN sits at the 70.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.7% ($22.35 to $27.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: TWIN RQD Cockpit TWIN 12M Forecast TWIN Earnings & Move TWIN Dividends & DRIP TWIN Insiders & 13F TWIN Whale Options TWIN Profit Sankey TWIN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 56/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TWIN β€” Twin Disc Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market capitalization $348.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 27.6%, operating margin of 3.3%, and free cash flow yield of 2.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.13, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company as an issuer with a market capitalization of $0.4B. β€” for product lines, customer base, or detailed monetization.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) reported $340.7M in annual revenue (up from $295.1M in FY2024, +15.5% YoY) and -$1.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($45.0M revenue, $10.4M net income) through FY2025, TWIN scaled operating cash flow to $24.0M and free cash flow to $8.8M, backed by $384.0M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 56/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.40% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.22 – $29.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 17.1x EV/EBITDA against 3.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Accordingly, no upstream/downstream mapping or 2nd-order bottleneck can be established from source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TWIN sustain or expand its 3.3% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $340.7M and free cash flow of $8.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $41.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TWIN's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TWIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TWIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TWIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $24.75?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TWIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TWIN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.93 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.22, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN). Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.22, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 56/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $25.90.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $23.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $22.30.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.22 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $23.98

Insider conviction scores only 10/20 and ROIC is 3.9% with FCF yield 2.4%, while net margin is -0.6% on FY 2025 net income of -$1.9M.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TWIN above $23.98. Insider conviction scores only 10/20 and ROIC is 3.9% with FCF yield 2.4%, while net margin is -0.6% on FY 2025 net income of -$1.9M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (2.4%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $29.24.

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