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Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$24.75 +3.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.85

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $348.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $348.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TWIN compare to CUB and NNBR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M) and NNBR (NN Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $368.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?
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Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.85 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$31 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE TWIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TWIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TWIN SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($8.8M FCF) & 27.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$26.79-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$25.09-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$25.07-1.3% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$24.75-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TWIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TWIN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.12) or 200D SMA ($20.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.53) toward Bear Floor ($19.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TWIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TWIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TWIN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $24.75: 404.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $19.13
$7,729
$-2,271 (-22.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $24.53
$9,911
$-89 (-0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.70
$12,404
+$2,404 (+24.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TWIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TWIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TWIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.67%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $25.29H $25.29L $23.98C $24.75VOL 52.5K
RES: $31.32SUP: $23.21SMA50: $25.12SMA200: $20.57
$30.26$26.03$21.79$17.56$13.33RES $31.32SUP $23.21$24.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TWIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TWIN Butterfly Map → + Track TWIN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TWIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TWIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TWIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TWIN)

Industrials Rank #166 of 486 ⚔️ CUB vs TWIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TWIN vs. CUB, NNBR, QSI, HLP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #315 by equity capitalization ($348.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNBR leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. HLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with TWIN at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TWIN ACTIVE
Twin Disc Incorporated
D+ 56/100 — 27.6% 3.9% +3.21% $348.6M Benchmark Subject
CUB
Lionheart Holdings (Class A)
D- 42/100 38.8x — -4.0% +0.09% $347.5M /cub-vs-twin →
NNBR
NN Inc.
E 29/100 10.9x — -8.5% -5.34% $368.4M /nnbr-vs-twin →
QSI
Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)
D- 41/100 — 47.3% -35.0% -13.70% $319.6M /qsi-vs-twin →
HLP
Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 — 32.5% 3.4% +0.25% $303.4M /hlp-vs-twin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000100378 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) reported GAAP revenue of $340.7M (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $295.1M , and +657.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $24.0M, and free cash flow of $8.8M (-64.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TWIN closed FY2025 with $384.0M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $340.7M -$1.9M $24.0M $8.8M $384.0M $41.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $295.1M $11.0M $33.7M $25.0M $307.4M $22.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $45.0M $10.4M $22.9M $22.9M — —

3. TWIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TWIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $348.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TWIN ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TWIN compare to CUB and NNBR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TWIN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.6%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M) and NNBR (NN Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC -8.5%, cap $368.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNBR leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TWIN?

Per TWIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000100378), Twin Disc Incorporated generated $340.7M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $8.8M in free cash flow against $384.0M in total assets and $41.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TWIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TWIN last traded at $24.75 (+3.21% on volume of 77,333 shares), positioning the stock -1.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.12) and +20.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.57). Across its 52-week range of $14.22 to $29.24, TWIN sits at the 70.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($22.35 to $27.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: TWIN RQD Cockpit TWIN 12M Forecast TWIN Earnings & Move TWIN Dividends & DRIP TWIN Insiders & 13F TWIN Whale Options TWIN Profit Sankey TWIN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TWIN — Twin Disc Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.75 (+3.21% 1D, market capitalization $348.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 27.6%, operating margin of 3.3%, and free cash flow yield of 2.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.13, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ: TWIN) is classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company as an issuer with a market capitalization of $0.4B. — for product lines, customer base, or detailed monetization.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) reported $340.7M in annual revenue (up from $295.1M in FY2024, +15.5% YoY) and -$1.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($45.0M revenue, $10.4M net income) through FY2025, TWIN scaled operating cash flow to $24.0M and free cash flow to $8.8M, backed by $384.0M in total assets against $41.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.40% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.22 – $29.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 17.1x EV/EBITDA against 3.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Accordingly, no upstream/downstream mapping or 2nd-order bottleneck can be established from source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TWIN sustain or expand its 3.3% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $340.7M and free cash flow of $8.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $41.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TWIN's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TWIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TWIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TWIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TWIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TWIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.93 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.22, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN). Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.22, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 56/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $25.90.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $23.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $22.30.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.22 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $23.98

Insider conviction scores only 10/20 and ROIC is 3.9% with FCF yield 2.4%, while net margin is -0.6% on FY 2025 net income of -$1.9M.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TWIN above $23.98. Insider conviction scores only 10/20 and ROIC is 3.9% with FCF yield 2.4%, while net margin is -0.6% on FY 2025 net income of -$1.9M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (2.4%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $29.24.

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