AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $5.16 (-5.15% 1D, market cap $171.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRO ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AIRO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and SIF (SIFCO Industries Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
Per AIRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001927958), AIRO Group Holdings Inc. generated $90.9M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $774.1M in total assets and $500.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 2.68 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While AIRO currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.52) and Max Pain ($5.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.44.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) dropped -5.15% to $5.16, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($4.53 – $16.61). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRO) has completed its first sale of unmanned aircraft systems to a U.
MCLEAN, Va., November 02, 2026--AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: AIRO), a next-generation aerospace and defense company, today announced the first U.S. sale of its drone platforms: an order from a U.S. government custo
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) ranks #466 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #357 by equity capitalization ($171.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AIRO at 22/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRO
ACTIVE
AIRO Group Holdings Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | 59.9% | -3.1% | -5.15% | $171.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| DPRO Draganfly Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -4.88% | $143.4M | /dpro-vs-airo → |
| SIF SIFCO Industries Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 12.5% | 0.4% | -5.14% | $132.5M | /sif-vs-airo → |
| EH EHang Holdings Limited ADS | E | 18/100 | — | 61.5% | -27.9% | -2.18% | $278.4M | /eh-vs-airo → |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share | E | 34/100 | 9.9x | — | — | -5.91% | $85.2M | /hovr-vs-airo → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) reported GAAP revenue of $90.9M (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.9M ) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$32.4M, and free cash flow of -$35.5M (-271.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRO closed FY2025 with $774.1M in total assets against $500.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $90.9M | -$4.1M | -$32.4M | -$35.5M | $774.1M | $500.0K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $86.9M | -$38.7M | $21.5M | $20.7M | $701.0M | $688.0K |
As of 2026-11-02, AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $5.16 (-5.15% 1D, market cap $171.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRO ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AIRO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and SIF (SIFCO Industries Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).
Per AIRO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001927958), AIRO Group Holdings Inc. generated $90.9M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $774.1M in total assets and $500.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AIRO last traded at $5.16 (-5.15% on volume of 373,756 shares), positioning the stock -20.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.52) and -35.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.03). Across its 52-week range of $4.53 to $16.61, AIRO sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.51 to $5.81).
Why AIRO Stock dropped -5.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AIRO scores 22 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Each of the five pillars is scored out of 20. The Fundamental Cash Engine scores 3/20, with ROIC at -3.1% and FCF yield at -20.68%, indicating that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value. Whale/13F Flow scores 3/20, reflecting weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 3/20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 6/20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 7/20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.68, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the pillar profile means the rating's negative signal comes primarily from cash generation and ownership flow rather than from balance-sheet leverage, which is comparatively modest. An upside case would need to rest on a turnaround in operating cash generation, since the current FCF yield is deeply negative. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because forward P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and earnings-based multiples are also unavailable. The stock's 52-week range of $4.53 - $16.61 against a current price of $5.44 shows substantial drawdown, but the source data does not establish whether that reflects a re-rating of fundamentals or a shift in sentiment. The evidence supports caution and further diligence rather than a constructive stance.
Per the recent news feed, the most prominent item is a Yahoo Finance report, flagged RED / RISK WATCH, describing a reset in analyst earnings expectations and a decline in fair value. Several other items are flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE, including a Moomoo options-chain report, a Simply Wall St forecast and analyst predictions piece, a Stock Titan report stating that Canada's drone program makes AIRO eligible to compete for military drone work through July 2031, a MarketBeat report stating the stock is rated "Hold" by sell-side brokerages, and a Morningstar piece linking AIRO momentum to GoDaddy's AI-driven revenue outlook. The Stock Titan item is the most concrete business-development catalyst in the feed, while the others are largely market commentary. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering AIRO Group Holdings Inc. (AIRO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIRO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 59.9% gross margins. Unless AIRO Group Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIRO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.44 (52-wk range $4.53 - $16.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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