Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $108.05 (-1.75% 1D, market cap $9.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALSN ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALSN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.6x, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, APTV (Aptiv PLC) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.23B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
Per ALSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001411207), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. generated $3.01B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $623.0M in net income, and $661.0M in free cash flow against $6.08B in total assets and $2.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22% FCF Margin ($661.0M FCF) & 48.6% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.3) create a -13 pt regime headwind
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ALSN faces multiple-compression risk if 14.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.85) or 200D SMA ($118.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($109.51) toward Bear Floor ($85.42).
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) slipped -1.75% to $108.05, trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($78.19 – $137.62). Solid 49% profit margin (21% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Patrick Industries (PATK) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +6.19% and +3.51%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Adient (ADNT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALSN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) ranks #316 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($9.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ALSN at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALSN
ACTIVE
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 14.6x | 48.6% | 21.3% | -1.75% | $9.08B | Benchmark Subject |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | D | 51/100 | 55.9x | 19.1% | 6.2% | -1.12% | $9.23B | /aptv-vs-alsn → |
| ALV Autoliv Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 11.5x | 19.2% | 23.2% | +0.50% | $8.42B | /alv-vs-alsn → |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | D- | 37/100 | 39.2x | 18.7% | 5.5% | -3.13% | $10.86B | /bwa-vs-alsn → |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | D+ | 54/100 | 60.8x | 23.0% | 17.0% | -6.51% | $7.38B | /mod-vs-alsn → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.01B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.23B , and -0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $623.0M, operating cash flow of $836.0M, and free cash flow of $661.0M (+0.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALSN closed FY2025 with $6.08B in total assets against $2.88B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.61, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.01B | $623.0M | $836.0M | $661.0M | $6.08B | $2.88B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.23B | $731.0M | $801.0M | $658.0M | $5.34B | $2.40B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.04B | $673.0M | $784.0M | $647.4M | $5.00B | $1.17B |
As of 2026-11-02, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $108.05 (-1.75% 1D, market cap $9.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ALSN ranks #316 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ALSN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.6x, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, APTV (Aptiv PLC) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 55.9x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $9.23B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).
Per ALSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001411207), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. generated $3.01B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $623.0M in net income, and $661.0M in free cash flow against $6.08B in total assets and $2.88B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ALSN last traded at $108.05 (-1.75% on volume of 656,791 shares), positioning the stock -7.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($116.85) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($118.47). Across its 52-week range of $78.19 to $137.62, ALSN sits at the 50.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($101.89 to $114.21).
Why ALSN Stock slipped -1.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 49% profit margin (21% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALSN scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
For a prospective investor, the rating describes a business with strong returns on capital and solid cash generation, offset by a macro-sensitivity profile and a leveraged balance sheet. The valuation (P/E TTM of 14.6, forward P/E of 13.6) is presented in the source as moderate relative to the company's cash generation, but whether that discount is attractive depends on how the forensic and macro pillars evolve. The rating is a structured summary of the source data, not a recommendation.
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. industry, per the company profile. The source data does not itemize the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $3010.0M for FY 2025, indicating its operating scale. How the company makes money beyond this figure is not available in source data.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3010.0M | $880.0M | $623.0M | N/A | $661.0M | $1495.0M | $2885.0M |
| FY 2024 | $3225.0M | $992.0M | $731.0M | N/A | $658.0M | $781.0M | $2395.0M |
| FY 2023 | $3035.0M | $919.0M | $673.0M | N/A | $647.4M | N/A | $1168.8M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $3225.0M in FY 2024 to $3010.0M in FY 2025, and net income fell from $731.0M to $623.0M, while free cash flow held near $661.0M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 48.6%, operating margin 29.2%, and net margin 20.7%, with ROIC at 21.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.61 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt rose from $1168.8M in FY 2023 to $2885.0M in FY 2025, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 1.55, so the balance sheet has taken on more leverage over the reported periods.
The news wire contains six items, all related to ALSN, each flagged "RISK WATCH" with a RED light. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether auto-tire-truck stocks are lagging ALSN this year, a Seeking Alpha piece titled that the stock is "Too Cheap To Drive Past," a Benzinga five-year ownership return piece, a Simply Wall St forecast and analyst predictions piece, a Yahoo Finance piece on whether the options market is predicting a spike, and a MarketBeat piece reporting a move to "Strong-Buy" by Zacks Research. The summaries are generic and do not disclose underlying figures, so the content of each claim cannot be verified from the source data. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALSN, but look at what you are paying: 14.6x trailing P/E with 48.6% gross margins. Unless Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALSN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $109.98 (52-wk range $78.19 - $137.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).