Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why DUOL Stock surged +2.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (72.2% gross margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is DUOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $135.27 (+2.80% 1D, market cap $6.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DUOL ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DUOL compare to YOU and BOX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), DUOL carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of 72.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, YOU (Clear Secure Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 37.2x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $6.22B) and BOX (Box Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DUOL leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while YOU leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUOL?
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Per DUOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001562088), Duolingo Inc. generated $1.04B in revenue (+38.7% YoY), $414.1M in net income, and $369.7M in free cash flow against $1.99B in total assets and $290.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (72.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 7.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 35.6% FCF Margin ($369.7M FCF) & 72.2% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DUOL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, DUOL faces multiple-compression risk if 15.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 69.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($144.55) or 200D SMA ($123.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($145.62) toward Bear Floor ($110.92).
Why DUOL Stock surged +2.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) surged +2.80% to $135.27, trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($87.89 – $279.98). High-quality cash engine (72.2% gross margin, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 25% of its 52-week range ($87.89 – $279.98) with RSI-14 at 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $135.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 72.2% gross margin and $369.7M annual free cash flow.
Stocktwits report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Class action filings against Duolingo (DUOL) have moved into the spotlight, with several law firms alleging misleading statements on user growth, monetization tactics, and AI driven content quality that, investors claim,
Key TakeawaysCoursera shares fell 19% after weak fourth-quarter revenue guidance and an early look at 2027 that pointed to shrinking sales. Udemy cost savings arriving 16 months early can’t make up for shrinking revenue.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DUOL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
DUOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +38.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUOL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUOL)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DUOL vs. YOU, BOX, OCTV, KVYO)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) ranks #45 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #190 by equity capitalization ($6.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DUOL leads on earnings valuation at 15.4x trailing P/E, while YOU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with DUOL at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUOL
ACTIVE
Duolingo Inc. | B | 75/100 | 15.4x | 72.2% | 18.4% | +2.80% | $6.16B | Benchmark Subject |
| YOU Clear Secure Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 37.2x | — | 26.6% | +4.26% | $6.22B | /you-vs-duol → |
| BOX Box Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 51.5x | 79.2% | 13.8% | -0.48% | $5.96B | /box-vs-duol → |
| OCTV Octave Intelligence plc (Class B) | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | -2.53% | $5.83B | /octv-vs-duol → |
| KVYO Klaviyo Inc. (Series A) | C- | 61/100 | — | 74.7% | -11.5% | +8.24% | $5.73B | /kvyo-vs-duol → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001562088 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+38.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $748.0M , and +95.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $414.1M, operating cash flow of $387.8M, and free cash flow of $369.7M (+35.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUOL closed FY2025 with $1.99B in total assets against $290.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.42, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.04B | $414.1M | $387.8M | $369.7M | $1.99B | $290.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $748.0M | $88.3M | $285.5M | $273.4M | $1.30B | $214.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $531.1M | $16.1M | $153.6M | $129.7M | $3.51B | $821.3M |
3. DUOL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DUOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $135.27 (+2.80% 1D, market cap $6.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DUOL ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DUOL compare to YOU and BOX in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), DUOL carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of 72.2%, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, YOU (Clear Secure Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 37.2x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $6.22B) and BOX (Box Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DUOL leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while YOU leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUOL?
Per DUOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001562088), Duolingo Inc. generated $1.04B in revenue (+38.7% YoY), $414.1M in net income, and $369.7M in free cash flow against $1.99B in total assets and $290.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (72.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DUOL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DUOL last traded at $135.27 (+2.80% on volume of 1,122,515 shares), positioning the stock -6.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($144.55) and +9.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($123.65). Across its 52-week range of $87.89 to $279.98, DUOL sits at the 24.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($123.10 to $147.44).
DUOL — Duolingo Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 75/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $135.27 (+2.80% 1D, market capitalization $6.16B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.4%, gross margin of 72.2%, operating margin of 13.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.79%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.30x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.42, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.20x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Duolingo Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) reported $1.04B in annual revenue (up from $748.0M in FY2024, +38.7% YoY) and $414.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($531.1M revenue, $16.1M net income) through FY2025, DUOL scaled operating cash flow to $387.8M and free cash flow to $369.7M, backed by $1.99B in total assets against $290.3M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 75/100): Strong cash generator (72.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $87.89 – $279.98 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 15.4x trailing P/E and 37.2x EV/EBITDA against 13.1% operating margins and a 1.30x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Supply chain: NONE (). The butterfly links list is empty and no proprietary signals are provided. Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — beyond the sector and industry classification. Second-order bottlenecks: — The practical watch item for an investor is the growth-deceleration commentary and the pending class action noted in the news feed, which are the only second-order risk signals in the provided material.
- Key Question #1: Can DUOL sustain or expand its 13.1% operating margin and 18.4% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.04B and free cash flow of $369.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $290.3M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is DUOL's 12.9x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.30x)?
DUOL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
DUOL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $135.27?
Strong balance-sheet forensics and cash generation, with an Altman Z-Score of 7.42 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, support a 77 RQD ratin
Here is why I am bullish on DUOL here at $131.59: Strong balance-sheet forensics and cash generation, with an Altman Z-Score of 7.42 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, support a 77 RQD rating.. Compare DUOL's 13.1% operating margin and 18.4% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $125.01 are getting bought.
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 15.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (72.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
The CEO flagged slower growth and a securities class action has been filed, while EV/EBITDA of 37.2 sits far above a trailing P/E of 15
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short DUOL above $131.59. The CEO flagged slower growth and a securities class action has been filed, while EV/EBITDA of 37.2 sits far above a trailing P/E of 15.4.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (5.79%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $268.97.