Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why EXE Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $90.55 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $20.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EXE ranks #66 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does EXE compare to PR and OVV in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EXE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, PR (Permian Resources Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?
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Per EXE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895126), Expand Energy Corporation generated $12.12B in revenue (+186.3% YoY), $1.82B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $28.29B in total assets and $5.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, EXE faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($91.72) or 200D SMA ($96.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($93.40) toward Bear Floor ($72.85).
Why EXE Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) advanced +0.12% to $90.55, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($83.25 – $126.62). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($83.25 – $126.62) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.3% around $90.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.8B annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Billionaire investor Howard Marks, co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management, has spent more than five decades studying financial markets, investment risk, and speculative bubbles. His firm, founded in 1995, has grown int
Natural gas producer Expand Energy (NASDAQ:EXE) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q3 2026, with sales up 11.6% year on year to $2.81 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.46 per share was 10.8% above a
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EXE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
EXE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXE)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EXE vs. PR, OVV, TPL, APA)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) ranks #66 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #44 by equity capitalization ($20.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with EXE at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXE
ACTIVE
Expand Energy Corporation | C | 65/100 | 11.5x | — | 8.5% | +0.12% | $20.89B | Benchmark Subject |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | B | 73/100 | — | — | 8.5% | +1.76% | $21.42B | /pr-vs-exe → |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | B | 75/100 | 16.3x | — | 5.7% | +1.47% | $20.23B | /ovv-vs-exe → |
| TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | C | 65/100 | 47.0x | — | 25.9% | +1.13% | $22.62B | /tpl-vs-exe → |
| APA APA Corporation | A- | 83/100 | 12.6x | — | 26.6% | +2.54% | $18.05B | /apa-vs-exe → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000895126In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.12B (+186.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.24B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.82B, operating cash flow of $4.58B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (+22887.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXE closed FY2025 with $28.29B in total assets against $5.01B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $12.12B | $1.82B | $4.58B | $1.84B | $28.29B | $5.01B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.24B | -$714.0M | $1.56B | $8.0M | $27.89B | $5.29B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $8.72B | $2.42B | $2.38B | $1.99B | $11.49B | $2.69B |
3. EXE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EXE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $90.55 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $20.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EXE ranks #66 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EXE compare to PR and OVV in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EXE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, PR (Permian Resources Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXE?
Per EXE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895126), Expand Energy Corporation generated $12.12B in revenue (+186.3% YoY), $1.82B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $28.29B in total assets and $5.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EXE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EXE last traded at $90.55 (+0.12% on volume of 2,161,630 shares), positioning the stock -1.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($91.72) and -6.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($96.69). Across its 52-week range of $83.25 to $126.62, EXE sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($85.75 to $95.35).
EXE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EXE stock moving today?
Why EXE Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
EXE — Expand Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, EXE scores 65 out of 100, grading a C and carrying the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 8.5%; FCF yield 8.8%), Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.25; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.27).
The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which the rating treats as the main support for the score. The weakest is whale/13F flow, which indicates institutional positioning is the least supportive factor. Cash generation and macro fit sit in the middle, and the forensic balance sheet scores solidly on its metrics. For a prospective investor, the implication is a balanced profile: the price of 90.44 sits within a 52-week range of $83.25 – $126.62, and the forward P/E of 9.7 versus a trailing P/E of 11.5 suggests the market is pricing earnings growth, while the 3.66% dividend yield provides income. Valuation tradeoffs center on whether the 8.8% FCF yield and EV/EBITDA of 5.3 hold up against a stock that has declined from its 52-week high. The rating does not argue for either a strong buy or a sell.
Snapshot
Business
Per the profile, Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in Oil & Gas Production, with a market capitalization of $20.9B. Not available in source data for products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The source data reports operating margin of 20.4% and net margin of 15%, and gross margin of 0%.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $12124.0M | $2471.0M | $1819.0M | N/A | $1839.0M | $616.0M | $5009.0M |
| FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31) | $4235.0M | $-803.0M | $-714.0M | N/A | $8.0M | $317.0M | $5291.0M |
| FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31) | $8721.0M | $3142.0M | $2419.0M | N/A | $1987.6M | N/A | $2688.3M |
Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows a sharp recovery from FY 2024, with revenue rising to $12124.0M and net income returning to $1819.0M after a loss of $-714.0M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 8.5% and the Altman Z is 2.25, with a Piotroski F of 9/9. Debt/Equity is listed at 0.27 in the rating. Per the SEC financials, debt declined from $5291.0M to $5009.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, while cash rose from $317.0M to $616.0M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news wire, six items reference EXE. A Seeking Alpha piece titled "Expand Energy: LNG Demand Growth Takes Time" carries a GREEN light and is tagged CATALYST; the source describes LNG demand as a growth driver that takes time to materialize. A marketscreener.com earnings flash reports Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.46 per share against a FactSet estimate of $1.29, a positive surprise. A TradingView piece notes the stock declined 17% year-to-date, flagged as a yellow market-wire risk item. Additional yellow-light items include a Yahoo Finance forecast page, a Seeking Alpha target-raising note, and a Yahoo! Finance Canada market report. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply-chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded.
Open Questions
- What are the specific insider and Congressional trades underlying the 17/20 insider conviction score?
- What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and how does it reconcile with reported operating margin of 20.4%?
- Why is FY 2025 EPS and FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash reported as N/A, and what would reported EPS be?
- What is the composition of the 8/20 whale/13F flow score given no holders data is provided?
- What is the basis for the LNG demand thesis cited in the news wire, and what timeline does the source indicate?
EXE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
EXE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $90.55?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EXE (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $90.44?
Welcome to the EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on EXE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EXE, but look at what you are paying: 11.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Expand Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
EXE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EXE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $90.44 (52-wk range $83.25 - $126.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.