Yahoo Finance report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LMND Stock dropped -4.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lemonade Inc. (LMND) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LMND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lemonade Inc. (NYSE: LMND) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $41.19 (-4.07% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LMND ranks #1085 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LMND compare to SLDE and NMIH in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), LMND carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 39.9%, cap $3.25B) and NMIH (NMI Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 15.0%, cap $3.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SLDE leads on capital efficiency (39.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LMND?
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Per LMND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001691421), Lemonade Inc. generated $737.9M in revenue (+40.2% YoY), -$166.0M in net income, and -$25.9M in free cash flow against $1.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LMND Turnaround Squeeze
While LMND currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.50) and Max Pain ($43.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $104.90.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why LMND Stock dropped -4.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Lemonade Inc. (LMND) dropped -4.07% to $41.19, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($42.53 – $99.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($42.53 – $99.9) with RSI-14 at 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $41.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Stocktwits report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Prudential Financial's Q3 results may reflect stronger investment income and PGIM fees, with mixed segment trends and higher expenses shaping performance.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LMND)
- ✓Walkthrough of LMND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
LMND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +40.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LMND today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LMND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LMND)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LMND vs. SLDE, NMIH, AGO, SPNT)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lemonade Inc. (LMND) ranks #1085 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #337 by equity capitalization ($3.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGO leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while SLDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SLDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with LMND at 21/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMND
ACTIVE
Lemonade Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | — | -31.1% | -4.07% | $3.32B | Benchmark Subject |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings Inc. | A- | 84/100 | 7.2x | — | 39.9% | -0.72% | $3.25B | /slde-vs-lmnd → |
| NMIH NMI Holdings Inc. | B | 73/100 | 8.4x | — | 15.0% | +1.76% | $3.21B | /nmih-vs-lmnd → |
| AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. | D+ | 54/100 | 6.2x | — | 8.9% | +2.06% | $3.10B | /ago-vs-lmnd → |
| SPNT SiriusPoint Ltd. | C | 63/100 | 6.6x | — | 18.6% | +0.50% | $3.01B | /spnt-vs-lmnd → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001691421 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lemonade Inc. (LMND) reported GAAP revenue of $737.9M (+40.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $526.5M , and +71.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$166.0M, operating cash flow of -$16.5M, and free cash flow of -$25.9M (-24.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LMND closed FY2025 with $1.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $737.9M | -$166.0M | -$16.5M | -$25.9M | $1.93B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $526.5M | -$202.2M | -$11.4M | -$20.8M | $1.85B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $429.8M | -$236.9M | -$119.1M | -$119.1M | — | — |
3. LMND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LMND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Lemonade Inc. (NYSE: LMND) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $41.19 (-4.07% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LMND ranks #1085 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LMND compare to SLDE and NMIH in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), LMND carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 39.9%, cap $3.25B) and NMIH (NMI Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 15.0%, cap $3.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGO leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while SLDE leads on capital efficiency (39.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LMND?
Per LMND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001691421), Lemonade Inc. generated $737.9M in revenue (+40.2% YoY), -$166.0M in net income, and -$25.9M in free cash flow against $1.93B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LMND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LMND last traded at $41.19 (-4.07% on volume of 1,071,318 shares), positioning the stock -13.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($47.50) and -29.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($58.06). Across its 52-week range of $42.53 to $99.90, LMND sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($37.44 to $44.94).
LMND — Lemonade Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Lemonade Inc. (LMND) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $41.19 (-4.07% 1D, market capitalization $3.32B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -31.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -0.73%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Lemonade Inc. (LMND) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Property-Casualty Insurers industry,. Market capitalization is $3.6B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lemonade Inc. (LMND) reported $737.9M in annual revenue (up from $526.5M in FY2024, +40.2% YoY) and -$166.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($429.8M revenue, -$236.9M net income) through FY2025, LMND scaled operating cash flow to -$16.5M and free cash flow to -$25.9M, backed by $1.93B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.73% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.53 – $99.90 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks beyond the sector and industry classification of Financials and Property-Casualty Insurers. Investors should not infer such linkages from this dataset.
- Key Question #1: Can LMND sustain or expand its — operating margin and -31.1% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $737.9M and free cash flow of -$25.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LMND's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
LMND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lemonade Inc. (LMND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stocktwits report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Lemonade Inc. (LMND) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
LMND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.19?
Revenue grew from $429.8M in FY 2023 to $737.9M in FY 2025 while net losses narrowed from -$236.9M to -$166.0M.
Long LMND at $42.94 targeting $56.68. Revenue grew from $429.8M in FY 2023 to $737.9M in FY 2025 while net losses narrowed from -$236.9M to -$166.0M.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $42.53 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@MultipleCompression Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $42.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.
ROIC of -31.1% and FCF yield of -0.73% indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital.
Fading this rally in LMND at $42.94. ROIC of -31.1% and FCF yield of -0.73% indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $42.94 (52-wk range $42.53–$99.90), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.