Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (NYSE: OTF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $9.75 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $4.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OTF ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OTF carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B) and OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
Per OTF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747777), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. generated $6.18B in revenue (+118.9% YoY), $720.4M in net income, and -$916.0M in free cash flow against $14.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind
While OTF currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.09) and Max Pain ($10.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) surged +2.52% to $9.75, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($8.76 – $15). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +118.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) ranks #371 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #158 by equity capitalization ($4.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OTF at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTF
ACTIVE
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | D- | 35/100 | 6.1x | — | 9.0% | +2.52% | $4.36B | Benchmark Subject |
| GEF Greif Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 4.5x | 22.2% | 3.9% | +1.01% | $3.79B | /gef-vs-otf → |
| OGC OceanaGold Corporation | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +0.95% | $5.41B | /ogc-vs-otf → |
| BELFB Bel Fuse Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 45.9x | 39.1% | 15.5% | -0.47% | $3.41B | /belfb-vs-otf → |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | +1.73% | $2.98B | /aris-vs-otf → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) reported GAAP revenue of $6.18B (+118.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.82B , and +129.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $720.4M, operating cash flow of -$916.0M, and free cash flow of -$916.0M (-1527.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTF closed FY2025 with $14.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.18B | $720.4M | -$916.0M | -$916.0M | $14.72B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.82B | $319.2M | $64.2M | $64.2M | $6.72B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.69B | $369.1M | $708.4M | $708.4M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (NYSE: OTF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $9.75 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $4.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, OTF ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OTF carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B) and OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
Per OTF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747777), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. generated $6.18B in revenue (+118.9% YoY), $720.4M in net income, and -$916.0M in free cash flow against $14.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
OTF last traded at $9.75 (+2.52% on volume of 4,045,075 shares), positioning the stock -3.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.09) and -12.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.09). Across its 52-week range of $8.76 to $15.00, OTF sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($9.20 to $10.30).
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.75 (+2.52% 1D, market capitalization $4.36B).
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Diversified Equities industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.36B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9% (free cash flow yield of -20.78%). Within the Diversified Equities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) reported $6.18B in annual revenue (up from $2.82B in FY2024, +118.9% YoY) and $720.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.69B revenue, $369.1M net income) through FY2025, OTF scaled operating cash flow to -$916.0M and free cash flow to -$916.0M, backed by $14.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Operating in Diversified Equities (Industrials), OTF carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trades at a P/E TTM of 6.1 with an 8.93% dividend yield and an ROIC of 9%.. When you look under the hood at OTF, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 9.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $15.00. My 12M target is $11.51.
@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 35/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.51 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.84.
Carries a -20.78% FCF yield and a Piotroski F-Score of 2 of 9 alongside a 35 RQD Score.. Look at the math on OTF: paying 6.1x trailing P/E for 9.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Diversified Equities demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $8.37 before getting long.
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