MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Should Value Investors Buy TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock?Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TAL Stock surged +2.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.10 +2.33% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.12
TAL Education Group (TAL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $5.47B
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Is TAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $10.10 (+2.33% 1D, market cap $5.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, TAL ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TAL compare to GHC and LAUR in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), TAL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, GHC (Graham Holdings Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $4.87B) and LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LAUR leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAL?
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Per TAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001499620), TAL Education Group generated $3.01B in revenue (+33.7% YoY), $530.8M in net income, and $508.3M in free cash flow against $3.61B in total assets and $844.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.12 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 16.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TAL SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 4.29 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$12.51-15.7% Next Q
71
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$10.55-4.6% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$10.06+0.4% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C$10.10+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TAL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, TAL faces multiple-compression risk if 10.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.64) or 200D SMA ($11.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.33) toward Bear Floor ($8.06).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TAL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TAL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TAL Stock surged +2.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
TAL Education Group (TAL) surged +2.33% to $10.10, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($8.88 – $13.23). Solid 55.4% gross margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($8.88 – $13.23) with RSI-14 at 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $10.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 55.4% gross margin and $508.3M annual free cash flow.
Live TAL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Why is TAL Education stock sliding today?Investing.com report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTInvestor's Business Daily • 1d ago
China EdTech Name Sees Profit Surge Amid AI BoomInvestor's Business Daily report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Can TAL Education Group (TAL) Earnings Support Its Share Price?Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
TAL Education Group Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $16.63, Implies 65% UpsideTradingView report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Is TAL Education Group (TAL) Trading At A Discount On Earnings?Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
TAL Education Group (TAL) Following Zacks Upgrade Keeps Undervaluation Narrative In FocusYahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Are Investors Undervaluing TAL Education Group (TAL) Right Now?Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTFintel • 4d ago
TAL Education Group Reports Second Fiscal Quarter Ended August 31, 2026 Results and Declares Cash Dividend of US$0.3 Per Common ShareMARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
TAL Education (TAL) Q2 2027 Earnings Call TranscriptOffline tutoring surged while device sales slumped, yet margins doubled.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TAL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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TAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $10.14H $10.14L $9.87C $10.10VOL 7.42M
RES: $13.29SUP: $9.61SMA50: $11.64SMA200: $11.08
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +33.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TAL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TAL)
Real Estate Rank #12 of 51
⚔️ GHC vs TAL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (TAL vs. GHC, LAUR, CVSA, EDU)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TAL Education Group (TAL) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #4 by equity capitalization ($5.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while LAUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and 28.3% gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with TAL at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAL
ACTIVE
TAL Education Group | C | 63/100 | 10.6x | 55.4% | 12.4% | +2.33% | $5.47B | Benchmark Subject |
| GHC Graham Holdings Company | C | 63/100 | 16.8x | — | 3.5% | +2.94% | $4.87B | /ghc-vs-tal → |
| LAUR Laureate Education Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 17.6x | 28.3% | 30.6% | +4.79% | $4.51B | /laur-vs-tal → |
| CVSA Covista Inc. | B | 74/100 | 18.4x | 56.9% | 14.8% | -0.24% | $4.13B | /cvsa-vs-tal → |
| EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.0x | 54.6% | 21.3% | +1.44% | $7.55B | /edu-vs-tal → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0001499620 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), TAL Education Group (TAL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.01B (+33.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.25B , and +101.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $530.8M, operating cash flow of $601.5M, and free cash flow of $508.3M (+77.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TAL closed FY2025 with $3.61B in total assets against $844.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.29, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-02-28 | $3.01B | $530.8M | $601.5M | $508.3M | $3.61B | $844.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-28 | $2.25B | $84.6M | $397.9M | $286.2M | $3.09B | $723.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-29 | $1.49B | -$3.6M | $306.2M | $239.1M | $3.09B | $723.9M |
3. TAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $10.10 (+2.33% 1D, market cap $5.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, TAL ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TAL compare to GHC and LAUR in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), TAL carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, GHC (Graham Holdings Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $4.87B) and LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LAUR leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAL?
Per TAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001499620), TAL Education Group generated $3.01B in revenue (+33.7% YoY), $530.8M in net income, and $508.3M in free cash flow against $3.61B in total assets and $844.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TAL last traded at $10.10 (+2.33% on volume of 7,429,235 shares), positioning the stock -13.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.64) and -8.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.08). Across its 52-week range of $8.88 to $13.23, TAL sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($9.34 to $10.86).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
TAL — TAL Education Group: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-02-28
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
TAL Education Group (TAL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.10 (+2.33% 1D, market capitalization $5.47B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.4%, gross margin of 55.4%, operating margin of 9.2%, and free cash flow yield of 9.04%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.29, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
TAL Education Group is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-02-28), TAL Education Group (TAL) reported $3.01B in annual revenue (up from $2.25B in FY2024, +33.7% YoY) and $530.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.49B revenue, -$3.6M net income) through FY2025, TAL scaled operating cash flow to $601.5M and free cash flow to $508.3M, backed by $3.61B in total assets against $844.9M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.88 – $13.23 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 10.6x trailing P/E and 16.5x EV/EBITDA against 9.2% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlations beyond the Real Estate / Other Consumer Services classification are — A prospective investor should watch the reported profit-surge theme and the price-target cut as the only identifiable second-order reference points, but no supply-chain bottleneck can be mapped from the provided data.
- Key Question #1: Can TAL sustain or expand its 9.2% operating margin and 12.4% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.01B and free cash flow of $508.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $844.9M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is TAL's 8.9x forward P/E multiple to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?
TAL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TAL Education Group (TAL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Should Value Investors Buy TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock? Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Why is TAL Education stock sliding today? Investing.com report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Investor's Business Daily • 1d ago
China EdTech Name Sees Profit Surge Amid AI Boom Investor's Business Daily report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Can TAL Education Group (TAL) Earnings Support Its Share Price? Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
TAL Education Group Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $16.63, Implies 65% Upside TradingView report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Is TAL Education Group (TAL) Trading At A Discount On Earnings? Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
TAL Education Group (TAL) Following Zacks Upgrade Keeps Undervaluation Narrative In Focus Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Are Investors Undervaluing TAL Education Group (TAL) Right Now? Yahoo Finance report covering TAL Education Group (TAL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
TAL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.10?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TAL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $12.44 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Revenue grew from $1.49B in FY 2023 to $3.01B in FY 2025 while the RQD insider pillar scored 18/20 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9
Long TAL at $9.87 targeting $12.44. Revenue grew from $1.49B in FY 2023 to $3.01B in FY 2025 while the RQD insider pillar scored 18/20 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.88 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 63/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.87 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.18.
FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $8.19 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $9.87 Valuation & margin reality check on TAL at $9.87 before chasing here
I respect the product at TAL Education Group, but the stock at $9.87 is a different story. Valuation & margin reality check on TAL at $9.87 before chasing here. FCF yield is 9.04% and RQD sits at 63/100 (C) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?