Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why THG Stock surged +2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
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Is THG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Hanover Insurance Group Inc (NYSE: THG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $248.40 (+2.61% 1D, market cap $8.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, THG ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does THG compare to KNSL and AXS in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), THG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, KNSL (Kinsale Capital Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $8.23B) and AXS (Axis Capital Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $7.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while KNSL leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THG?
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Per THG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000944695), Hanover Insurance Group Inc generated $6.59B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), $662.5M in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $16.95B in total assets and $6.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.2) create a -6 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the THG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, THG faces multiple-compression risk if 12.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($227.09) or 200D SMA ($201.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($269.64) toward Bear Floor ($203.69).
Why THG Stock surged +2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) surged +2.61% to $248.40, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($166.54 – $248.4). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($166.54 – $248.4) with RSI-14 at 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.9% around $248.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.2B annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MALVERN, Pa., November 02, 2026--The Institutes Griffith Foundation and APCIA honored John C. "Jack" Roche, president & CEO of The Hanover, with the 2026 Lifetime Achievement Award.
Does Hanover Insurance Group (THG) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? Let's find out.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (THG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
THG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THG)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (THG vs. KNSL, AXS, ORI, ESNT)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #212 by equity capitalization ($8.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while KNSL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. KNSL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with THG at 77/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THG
ACTIVE
Hanover Insurance Group Inc | B+ | 77/100 | 12.4x | — | 9.1% | +2.61% | $8.32B | Benchmark Subject |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 16.2x | — | 13.8% | +3.80% | $8.23B | /knsl-vs-thg → |
| AXS Axis Capital Holdings Limited | D | 48/100 | 7.3x | — | 5.6% | +1.65% | $7.52B | /axs-vs-thg → |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 9.9x | — | 7.3% | +1.06% | $9.30B | /ori-vs-thg → |
| ESNT Essent Group Ltd. | B+ | 77/100 | 8.8x | — | 11.9% | +1.82% | $6.02B | /esnt-vs-thg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000944695 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) reported GAAP revenue of $6.59B (+5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.24B , and +10.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $662.5M, operating cash flow of $1.18B, and free cash flow of $1.17B (+47.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, THG closed FY2025 with $16.95B in total assets against $6.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.59B | $662.5M | $1.18B | $1.17B | $16.95B | $6.02B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.24B | $426.0M | $806.4M | $796.2M | $15.27B | $5.59B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $5.99B | $35.3M | $361.7M | $92.0M | $7.19B | $1.68B |
3. THG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs THG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Hanover Insurance Group Inc (NYSE: THG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $248.40 (+2.61% 1D, market cap $8.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, THG ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.
How does THG compare to KNSL and AXS in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), THG carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, KNSL (Kinsale Capital Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $8.23B) and AXS (Axis Capital Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $7.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while KNSL leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THG?
Per THG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000944695), Hanover Insurance Group Inc generated $6.59B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), $662.5M in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $16.95B in total assets and $6.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is THG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
THG last traded at $248.40 (+2.61% on volume of 535,449 shares), positioning the stock +9.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($227.09) and +23.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($201.18). Across its 52-week range of $166.54 to $242.54, THG sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($238.71 to $258.09).
THG — Hanover Insurance Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 77/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $248.40 (+2.61% 1D, market capitalization $8.32B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 14.1%, and free cash flow yield of 14.30%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Property-Casualty Insurers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $8.32B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 14.1%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.1% (free cash flow yield of 14.3%). Within the Property-Casualty Insurers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) reported $6.59B in annual revenue (up from $6.24B in FY2024, +5.7% YoY) and $662.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.99B revenue, $35.3M net income) through FY2025, THG scaled operating cash flow to $1.18B and free cash flow to $1.17B, backed by $16.95B in total assets against $6.02B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 77/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $166.54 – $242.54 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 12.4x trailing P/E and 13.5x EV/EBITDA against 14.1% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
(supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. Upstream and downstream dependencies and sector correlations are not provided.)
- Key Question #1: Can THG sustain or expand its 14.1% operating margin and 9.1% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.59B and free cash flow of $1.17B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.02B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is THG's 11.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?
THG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
THG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $248.40?
Smart-money pillars (Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction, each 17/20) and a 14.3% FCF yield indicate strong institutional and cash-ge
Picked up a starter position in THG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $242.09. Smart-money pillars (Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction, each 17/20) and a 14.3% FCF yield indicate strong institutional and cash-generation support.. Trading inside a $166.54–$242.54 52-week range with 14.3% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Property-Casualty Insurers multiples expand this quarter.
@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 77/100 quality, though with 1.01 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $242.09 and keeping dry powder in case we test $225.14.
A 13.5x EV/EBITDA multiple near the top of the 52-week range ($242.54 high) and a recent $237 price-target cut leave limited upside per
Careful chasing THG at $242.09. A 13.5x EV/EBITDA multiple near the top of the 52-week range ($242.54 high) and a recent $237 price-target cut leave limited upside per the news wire.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 14.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $203.36 on multiple compression.