Yahoo Finance report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TSM Stock dropped -5.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is TSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $406.13 (-5.95% 1D, market cap $2.24T). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TSM ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does TSM compare to SKHY and MU in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TSM carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, SKHY (SK hynix Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $1.18T) and MU (Micron Technology Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 123.8x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.06T). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSM leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSM?
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For Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.4) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TSM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, TSM faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($435.61) or 200D SMA ($401.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($426.23) toward Bear Floor ($332.46).
Why TSM Stock dropped -5.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) dropped -5.95% to $406.13, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($266.82 – $487.47). Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($266.82 – $487.47) with RSI-14 at 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $406.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $89.4B annual free cash flow.
Investopedia report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Key TakeawaysASML fell 6. 1% on Friday after Intel’s forecast set off a global chip selloff, even though ASML says it cannot build enough machines for 2027 and 2028.
KLA Corporation Q1 beat estimates and raised guidance as AI chip demand boosts growth. Click for this KLAC stock earnings update.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TSM Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Trigger: $443.90 • Invalidation: $403.74
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TSM)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TSM vs. SKHY, MU, INTC, AMAT)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) ranks #103 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($2.24T). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSM leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while AMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and 48.7% gross margin. TSM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM
ACTIVE
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. | C+ | 69/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -5.95% | $2.24T | Benchmark Subject |
| SKHY SK hynix Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -7.95% | $1.18T | /skhy-vs-tsm → |
| MU Micron Technology Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 123.8x | 39.8% | 9.1% | -5.30% | $1.06T | /mu-vs-tsm → |
| INTC Intel Corporation | D- | 42/100 | — | 34.8% | -1.2% | -28.58% | $486.60B | /intc-vs-tsm → |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 47.8x | 48.7% | 24.5% | -7.49% | $334.63B | /amat-vs-tsm → |
2. TSM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $2.24T, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
3. TSM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $406.13 (-5.95% 1D, market cap $2.24T). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TSM ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TSM compare to SKHY and MU in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TSM carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, SKHY (SK hynix Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $1.18T) and MU (Micron Technology Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 123.8x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.06T). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSM leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSM?
For Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TSM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TSM last traded at $406.13 (-5.95% on volume of 21,971,260 shares), positioning the stock -6.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($435.61) and +1.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($401.06). Across its 52-week range of $266.82 to $487.47, TSM sits at the 63.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($383.39 to $428.87).
TSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TSM stock moving today?
Why TSM Stock dropped -5.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TSM scores 69 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout"). The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine — 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.9% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is solid but not exceptional at this price; the FCF yield indicates a relatively modest cash return per dollar of market value.
- Whale 13F Flow — 14 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderately supportive signal, though the underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data.
- Insider Conviction — 16 / 20. The RQD rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit — 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.42 and sector sensitivity is elevated. Investors should expect larger price swings than the broad market in risk-off regimes.
- Forensic Balance Sheet — 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.87, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39. This is the strongest pillar, indicating low balance-sheet stress.
Taken together, the score sits in the upper-neutral band. The upside drivers are the balance-sheet strength and insider/institutional signals; the valuation trade-off is that the FCF yield of 3.99% and forward P/E of 20.2 leave less margin for error if the wafer-pricing or macro-beta risks materialize. The "watch for breakout" framing implies the rating would need stronger cash-flow or positioning evidence to move higher. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, TSMC sits at the center of six confirmed-filing relationships, all tagged TAILWIND:
- Downstream (TSM as supplier): Apple (CONFIRMED_CUSTOMER, exposure label ~22%–25% of TSMC volume, cited as the largest single customer); AMD (DIRECT_SUPPLIER, undisclosed %); NVIDIA (DIRECT_SUPPLIER, undisclosed bilateral %); Broadcom (DIRECT_SUPPLIER, ~90%+ of its wafer volume disclosed at TSMC).
- Upstream (TSM as beneficiary of equipment): Lam Research (BOTTLENECK_BENEFICIARY, 10%+ customer tier disclosed by Lam); KLA (BOTTLENECK_BENEFICIARY, >10% named customer concentration disclosed by KLA).
Second-order bottlenecks to monitor: CoWoS-L packaging throughput governs NVIDIA rack shipments and competes for capacity with AMD and Broadcom. Single-foundry concentration means any TSMC wafer surcharge flows directly into Broadcom's AI silicon schedules. On the equipment side, Lam's operating leverage depends on the pace of advanced-packaging and HBM cleanroom additions, and KLA's shipment upside is constrained by its light-source manufacturing. The graph also identifies competing explanations: Apple unit softness from elongated replacement cycles or tariffs, Tokyo Electron competition for Lam, and hyperscaler ASIC substitution for NVIDIA.
Open Questions
- What is TSMC's period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and cash/debt position? The financials section provides none of these.
- The market data lists gross margin as 0%, which conflicts with a 21.1% operating margin. Which figure is correct?
- What specific 13F, Form 4, and Congressional PTR transactions underlie the 14/20 and 16/20 pillar scores?
- What is the Reuters "prudent" 2027 outlook's quantitative guidance, and what events does the October 15 headline reference?
- What share of TSMC revenue do the exposure estimates for Apple, AMD, NVIDIA, and Broadcom represent, and how is the ~22%–25% Apple figure reconciled with the disclosed filings?
TSM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investopedia report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reuters report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TSM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $406.13?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TSM (C+ • RQD 69/100) a Buy at $431.81?
Welcome to the TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TSM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TSM, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TSM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TSM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $431.81 (52-wk range $266.82 - $487.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.