Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. (CVGI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

CVGI scores 43 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 11 out of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -0.2% and an FCF yield of 0%; for a prospective investor this indicates the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital or free cash flow yield relative to its price. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 10 out of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a weak reading that suggests limited institutional sponsorship in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar, and the source data contains no insider or congressional detail to explain it. The macro regime fit pillar scores 7 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity that the rating treats as a headwind. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.08, a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.78. Taken together, the upside case rests on a recovery in operating and net margins from negative levels and a re-rating of a stock trading near the low end of its 52-week range, while the downside case rests on continued negative net margins, zero FCF yield, and weak insider and institutional signals.

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. Industry. The profile describes the company as operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. With a market capitalization of $0.1B. —

Revenue declined from $835.5M in FY 2023 to $723.4M in FY 2024 and $649.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $49.4M to -$35.7M and then -$20.5M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 10.5%, the operating margin is -0.1%, and the net margin is -3.2%, with ROIC at -0.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.08 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 out of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.78. Reported debt fell from $127.1M to $104.

• 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Revenue is declining, but the FY 2025 FCF of $34.0M and debt reduction from $127.1M to $104.0M point to a recovering cash position. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC -0.2%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.29 – $5.88 52-week range.
• 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income stayed negative at -$20.5M in FY 2025 with ROIC at -0.2% and FCF yield at 0%, and insider conviction scores only 5 of 20. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), CVGI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 10.5%.

• Key Question #1: What were reported EPS, cash balances, and total debt in the periods where those fields show N/A or are missing?
• Key Question #2: What are the analyst consensus rating, price targets, and earnings estimates, given that analyst data is absent?
• Key Question #3: Who holds the stock at the institutional and insider level, and what do 13F and Form 4 filings show?