Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TPL Stock advanced +1.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Texas Pacific Land Corporation (NYSE: TPL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $331.68 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $22.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TPL ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TPL compare to PR and EXE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TPL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.9%. By comparison, PR (Permian Resources Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B) and EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPL?
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Per TPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811074), Texas Pacific Land Corporation generated $798.2M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $481.4M in net income, and $510.0M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $74.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.9% FCF Margin ($510.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, TPL faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($351.30) or 200D SMA ($401.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($342.13) toward Bear Floor ($266.86).
Why TPL Stock advanced +1.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) advanced +1.13% to $331.68, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($269.23 – $547.2). Solid steady margins (26% return on capital), mixed timing at 47x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($269.23 – $547.2) with RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.2% around $331.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $510.0M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.debelegger.nl report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Prediction markets favor a Democratic sweep. Here are four energy stocks to watch if Democrats win both chambers or Republicans hold the Senate.
Energy sector earnings are growing rapidly, yet the sector remains underweighted and undervalued. Read why I favor midstream and upstream names in the sector.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TPL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPL)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TPL vs. PR, EXE, OVV, APA)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #42 by equity capitalization ($22.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with TPL at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPL
ACTIVE
Texas Pacific Land Corporation | C | 65/100 | 47.0x | — | 25.9% | +1.13% | $22.62B | Benchmark Subject |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | B | 73/100 | — | — | 8.5% | +1.76% | $21.42B | /pr-vs-tpl → |
| EXE Expand Energy Corporation | C | 65/100 | 11.5x | — | 8.5% | +0.12% | $20.89B | /exe-vs-tpl → |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | B | 75/100 | 16.3x | — | 5.7% | +1.47% | $20.23B | /ovv-vs-tpl → |
| APA APA Corporation | A- | 83/100 | 12.6x | — | 26.6% | +2.54% | $18.05B | /apa-vs-tpl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001811074In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reported GAAP revenue of $798.2M (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $705.8M , and +26.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $481.4M, operating cash flow of $545.9M, and free cash flow of $510.0M (+11.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPL closed FY2025 with $1.62B in total assets against $74.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $798.2M | $481.4M | $545.9M | $510.0M | $1.62B | $74.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $705.8M | $454.0M | $490.7M | $458.9M | $1.25B | $52.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $631.6M | $405.6M | $418.3M | $389.9M | $12.44B | $2.91B |
3. TPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Texas Pacific Land Corporation (NYSE: TPL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $331.68 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $22.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TPL ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TPL compare to PR and EXE in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TPL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.9%. By comparison, PR (Permian Resources Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $21.42B) and EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $20.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPL?
Per TPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811074), Texas Pacific Land Corporation generated $798.2M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $481.4M in net income, and $510.0M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $74.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TPL last traded at $331.68 (+1.13% on volume of 481,104 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($351.30) and -17.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($401.65). Across its 52-week range of $269.23 to $547.20, TPL sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($311.12 to $352.24).
TPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TPL stock moving today?
Why TPL Stock advanced +1.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (26% return on capital), mixed timing at 47x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TPL — Texas Pacific Land Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
The Roarable RQD rating is 65 / C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 19 of 20 (ROIC 25.9%; FCF yield 2.25%), which is the strongest contributor and suggests high capital efficiency relative to the company's reported cash generation. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 (Altman Z 26; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.05), indicating a very conservatively financed profile per the Roarable RQD rating. Insider conviction scores 13 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a moderate reading. Macro regime fit scores 12 of 20 (Beta 1.02; sector sensitivity), reflecting roughly market-level volatility sensitivity. Whale/13F flow scores 5 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar in the set. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data, where forward P/E is 39.5 and EV/EBITDA is 36.2, and the FCF yield of 2.25% is modest. The 5 of 20 institutional-flow reading means the rating does not indicate strong recent institutional conviction. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Business
Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry, per the SEC financials profile section. The profile identifies the company as an Energy issuer with a market capitalization of $22.6B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification and the reported financial figures.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $798.2M | $592.2M | $481.4M | N/A | $510.0M | $144.8M | $74.0M |
| FY 2024 | $705.8M | $539.1M | $454.0M | N/A | $458.9M | $369.8M | $52.0M |
| FY 2023 | $631.6M | $486.1M | $405.6M | N/A | $389.9M | N/A | $2911.3M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose across the three reported fiscal years. Market data shows operating margin of 74.2%, net margin of 60.3%, and gross margin of 0%. ROIC is 25.9%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 26, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.05, which together describe a strong balance-sheet posture. Reported debt moved from $2911.3M in FY 2023 to $74.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials; the source does not explain this change.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Per the recent news wire, a Yahoo Finance report covers the company's Q2 earnings and asks whether to buy, sell, or hold after the release (YELLOW, market wire).
- Per the recent news wire, a Seeking Alpha report carries a rating-upgrade headline referencing several bullish narratives (GREEN, catalyst).
- Per the recent news wire, the company set dates for its Third Quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call (YELLOW, market wire).
- Per the recent news wire, Investing.com reports that a 10% owner, Horizon Kinetics, bought shares for $1,363 (YELLOW, market wire).
- Per the recent news wire, TradingView and www.debelegger.nl items cover estimates and price/chart analysis (YELLOW, market wire).
- Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Sector Energy, Industry Oil & Gas Production; supply chain "NONE"; no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Risk watch items: the source data does not provide specific risk disclosures; the 52-week range of $269.23 to $547.2 and the -1.2% daily move are the only price-volatility references.
Open Questions
- What is the company's specific revenue mix and how much of the $798.2M FY 2025 revenue comes from each business line?
- What explains the reduction in reported debt from $2911.3M in FY 2023 to $74.0M in FY 2025?
- Why are EPS values reported as N/A in all three periods despite reported net income?
- What are the Q2 earnings results referenced in the news wire, and how did they compare to expectations?
- What is the basis for the 5 of 20 institutional-flow pillar score, and what 13F data supports it?
TPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.debelegger.nl report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $331.68?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TPL (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $327.96?
Welcome to the TPL (Texas Pacific Land Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TPL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TPL, but look at what you are paying: 47.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Texas Pacific Land Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TPL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TPL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $327.96 (52-wk range $269.23 - $547.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.